Just to be clear, a mob of EU officials were already booked on eurostar to come to London tomorrow for technical talks on the free trade deal long before the phone call this pm between @DavidGHFrost and @MichelBarnier. So @michaelgove's billing of the intensification...
of the talks - rather than their collapse - as a great victory for @BorisJohnson is classic Govian spin. That intensification was inevitable. Johnson's "walk out" was theatre. The real deadline for the talks is 15 November, because any later and ratification becomes impossible...
The point is that there has been much more progress towards agreement than @michaelgove is prepared to concede. In the EU, they still expect and hope for a deal. And if there isn't one, it's because - they think - the PM will have worked out that there will be massive...
disruption to UK trade and a hit to the economy even if there is a deal, and it may be better politics for Johnson to blame the EU for that economic damage rather than concede that leaving the single market was always going to bring costs.

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More from @Peston

20 Oct
Who was wrong not to close a deal over a gap of £5m - Boris Johnson or Andy Burnham? The Treasury signed off a £55m package to support businesses and employees hurt by the Tier 3 closures. Burnham said he would accept £65m. The PM personally offered Burnham a compromise...
of £60m on the basis it would not undermine support he had given to Lancs and Liverpool. Burnham argued he had already compromised. Talks collapsed. Downing St tells me what matters now is imposing the Tier 3 restrictions - and insists it will take steps to limit the hurt...
to businesses and employees who can no longer work. But it won't say the £60m package is still there. In the meantime, most of the rest of the country probably cannot understand why central and local governments cannot agree on a decision about saving lives...
Read 4 tweets
15 Oct
Tonight all attention is on the unusual alliance of right wing Tory MPs and Labour local officials, led by @AndyBurnhamGM, who for very different reasons want to keep Manchester out of Tier 3 restrictions (the Tories because they see the social cure as worse than the...
disease, Manc Labour because they want more compensation for damaged businesses and workers). But the economic impact of the imposition of Tier 2 restrictions on London, the biggest hospitality market in the UK by a...
country mile, will be significant. The prospects for pubs and restaurants are dire once again - and under the terms of the Job Support Scheme it is now much more expensive for them to keep staff on their books (they pay half wages for roughly a third of hours), and...
Read 6 tweets
14 Oct
You might have noticed that NHS Test and Trace, the £12bn service supposed to tell us who has the virus and where, isn't yet world class in the way @BorisJohnson promised it would be. On 10 Sept @DavidDavisMP asked @MattHancock whether Serco and Sitel...
which provide call handling services for track and trace, would be subject to penalties if they fail to meet targets. His ministerial colleague @Helen_Whately has replied that "contract penalties...were not included in test and trace contracts with Serco or Sitel"...
Which many would see as shocking. And what Davis also regards as extraordinary, as I think would anyone with experience in business, is that she justifies the absence of any performance clauses of this sort on the basis that "contractual penalties are often unenforceable...
Read 4 tweets
12 Oct
If you wondered why ⁦@CMO_England⁩ told me the “baseline” measures in “very high” category of measures would not be sufficient to halt exponential growth of virus, attached is why - which is summary of paper from government advisers SAGE from 21 Sept, but just...
published saying pub closure not nearly enough to halt infections and hospitalisations to save lives. Restaurants, cafes, hairdressers and gyms would need to be closed too. All university teaching should go online. And there may need to be short national circuit-breaking lockdown
Read 6 tweets
5 Oct
Re Kate Bingham's interview with @FT, where she says that vaccinating the whole population is "not going to happen" and would be "misguided", she is deferring the holy grail of herd immunity for months beyond next spring, and saying we will be living with the virus for years...
Because as chair of the UK Vaccine Taskforce, she is saying that only the old, vulnerable and those working in healthcare settings will be vaccinated. In other words the vaccine would be protection for those most likely to become acutely ill or whose services are most needed...
But all the evidence shows that young people are the principle spreaders of the virus, which would still be in the community. And we would still need to maintain social distancing, since we could never be confident that a vaccine would deliver...
Read 5 tweets
3 Oct
Obviously this shows there was a gradual rise in Covid-19 infections in recent days rather than the levelling off we had been seeing. But here is the mystery. Test and Trace tell me there has NOT been a significant increase in the gap between individuals having...
a test and receiving their results. But there has been a huge leap in the lag between the test and it showing on the Gov.UK dashboard. And no one can explain why. This is troubling
Broadly we now know that COVID-19 prevalence in the community was greater than the daily data was showing and the rate of growth was not flattening as seemed to be the case. But the biggest worry is that this is not a one-off correction, and there will be more upward...
Read 4 tweets

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