1/8 🇸🇪 update of a few graphs of all cause mortality (acm) including September.
Adding including a few earlier tweets in this short-thread
-#covid19
-Nordic comparison
-ICU capacity
Firstly update of graph comparing ACM October through September👇🏽 +
2/8 Secondly update of graph comparing January through September. 2020 similar to 2015 but lower than 2013 and basically all years prior to that +
3/8 Thirdly adding chart comparing flu season to flu season. As noticed, 2019 had very few deaths. +
4/8 Continuing with chart showing 2020 compared with average of 2015-2019. We see that since week 27 we have been at “normal” levels of all cause mortality. +
5/8 Crude Assumption: This chart shows sum of ICU beds needed + deaths per day compared with ICU capacity. Health services ran a tight ship but capacity seems to have been adequate. Also pandemics before this have stretched capacity and put a burden on society. +
6/8 This tweet refers to an earlier tweet which looks at ASMR Nordic comparison first of flu season and then of week 1-36👇🏽 +
7/8 Also this tweet refers to an earlier tweet looking at data from two studies on #covid19 deaths in Region Östergötland👇🏽 which indicates that some 25% of c19 deaths would have c19 as dominating cause of death +
1/4 🇸🇪 🇩🇰 so many things happening globally but I think there is room for the Nordic age standardised mortality rate comparison. Last year I envisioned that I wouldn’t be interested in putting together this graph again since everything would be different re restrictions. >>
2/4 Little did I know that anti-vaxxer was going to be the most used derogatory term of the year and vacc.passports were going to be introduced only to be removed after they showed little to know benefit.
Currently all restrictions are dropped and life returns to normal…>>
3/4 In terms of ASMR, both Danes and Swedes seems to have survived yet another year despite the fact that everyone was supposed to die from either viruses or vaccines.
I will add Norway and Finland (maybe Scotland) to my graph when official figures are out and maybe this time >>
1/6 🇸🇪 When we lift restrictions it’s worth reflecting on one of the measures, the vaccine passports implemented to restrict unvaccinated. Although rather limited in its application, they were nonetheless implemented. This was at a point when vaccine coverage were already… >>
2/6 pretty high. It now stands at 83,6% fully vaccinated in +12yo and ca 75% in age group 18-29. Older age groups have high coverage with around 90%.
This means that for the age group 18-29, with low covid related mortality, ca 25% have been excluded from certain activities >>
3/6 And not because they are criminal, but because… they spread more than others? Data suggests that isn’t the case (as seen below) or is it because the young tend to end up in ICU very often? >>
1/9 In the before times, it was speculated that the Swedish experience during 2020 would result in lower mortality during 2021, this - for various reasons (excess mortality 2020 and 💉…) - seems to have become the case >>
2/9 It was also agreed that covid posed much less risk for younger people… now my 20 something year old colleagues - some of whom have had covid - are expecting to get boosted for the betterment of who exactly? >>
3/9 Amongst many things, my humble belief is that the arrival of the available vaccines (of which no evil shall be spoken) makes most sense in the elderly population, i.e the 1 perhaps two most leftward age columns👇🏽 >>
1/8 🇸🇪 FOhM have chosen to pause the Moderna vaccine for those under 30 due to increased risk of… and it actually not being worth it🤭 In any case, the pandemic so far, in terms of mortality hve been looking quite mild for the young. This extends to the period of vaccinations >>
2/8 And as I mentioned the other day, irregularities will stand out but might be due to many many factors.
Historic reference—> I read somewhere that some 400 individuals ended up with narcolepsy after the swine flu debacle. This was, at the time, a rather significant impact >>
3/8 Now, however, we have learned that it was after all not such a big deal and the fuss made about it was exaggerated… >>
1/4 🇸🇪 -21, the year when reported AEs from vaccines exploded, why? Perhaps nobody new it was supposed to be done prior to 2021😐
Over 78k reports have been filed to Läkemedelsverket of suspected AEs. Ranging from mostly mild headaches to rare worse AEs (severe AEs in graph) >>
2/4 on a “normal” year it seems far less reports are being filed. Up until now it ca 10k covid related reports have been processed (priority given to severe AEs) and of those some 6k are considered severe AEs. See graph above👆🏽 >>
3/4 Depending on what the remaining not yet processed reports say we are bound to at least surpass previous years in reported severe adverse effects and deaths (already surpassed). >>