-Company facing problems due to Covid
-Granules has achieved the highest numbers in the history of growth story.
-PAT growth of 20% after 2021 with base of 2021.
-ROCE increased due to better utilization of plants.
-Out of approved ANDAs 6 are yet to be launched.
- PAT growth is higher than revenue growth: Due to good product mix, price realization
- Vizag facility is expected to come up next year
- Intentionally delayed launched of some products due to COVID
- Supply chain remain the continuous focus of the company
- New launches, new approvals and price realisation resulted in good growth and this is expected to continue in the coming period of time.
- Focus on Strategic shift from top line to bottom line
- 3-5 new launches in H2
- Free cash flow before working capital is 281 cr
- Working Capital debt increase by 31 crores
- 60 Cr of CAPEX in this quarter
Growth in company by focus on
- launces and new approval in US market
- Launch of products on European market
- focus on operational efficiency
-As growth increases the requirement of cash and working capital requirement will increase.
- Company has extra stocking in US and whenever there is new launch that time company has to build up inventory of at least 3-5 months otherwise company will have to pay the penalty.
Raw Material:
- Key raw material is imported from China, however the supply has no hamper. (Prices remained volatile)
- Also partnering with small players, by delivering them technology and accessing the basic chemical
- Core molecule contribution in Revenue is 70% and it is expected to come down to 50%.
- Gross Margins: Combination of product mix and price realization. No comments of Gross margins sustainability, however EBIDTA and PAT margins is expected to be maintained
- Supply credit working capital will continue to go up and some of it is financed by payables. It will be managed by combination of internal accrual, increased receivable days.
- Capex: Overall Capex of 400 cr in this year and next year. out of that 80 cr is for API.
- Despite of Capex company will maintain the ROCE
- Capex will be financed by internal accrual.
- 6-7 products still need to be launched after approval.
- Oncology APIs are launched but the impact on top line and bottom line will take some time.
- No COVID related demand in the core products.
- Launched one big product. Increase in new customer was the key benefit
- Company will not increase the capacity of Paracetamol. There are better opportunities available.
- Hence this margins improvement will be from the new product. Future revenue share will be from new product rather than core molecule
- Majority of growth is from US market
- To reduce dependency on US, focus will also be on rest of the world. Europe will be a key market.
- US will grow in absolute numbers, however the expansion of growth in Europe market is what company eyeing for.
- Company will work with partners so that company will not have to be at front end, company will not have to hold the inventory. This will improve the working capital
- Launching formulation in Latin America, and the margins in Latin is better than other area.
- Though the company sells API, most of it is used for internal accrual. Company also buys some of it from China.
- As Company ran out of capacity it has built up the capacity that will last till the end of next year. By that time new plants will be ready.
- New PFIs coming up that will be launched in Latin America and rest of the world.
- MUPS technology: Most of the company is using this technology. Expansion will continued in the coming quarters and pellets are produced for gastro purpose
-PLI scheme: Great initiative. However it will not have much effect on the sales part. Main focus is on the infrastructure
-Subsidies will be given on the mix API, however this would be on green field, and it would be difficult for companies too open green field to avail the subsidy as it could be small part only
Conclusion:
- Company is focusing to foray its market in different geographies.
- PAT and EBIT margins are expected to be on line (key focus here).
- Pipeline is expanding and new products will be key driver of growth in future. CAPEX will include majorly new product only.
Updates:
• Large account of sales this time gave profitability
• Power and fuel cost were in line
• Further margins to improve because of new electricity plant at Gujarat
• In terms of export and proprietary business, planned strategy is fully getting implemented
• Order on hand: At around 350 crores. As this order gets shipped, management feels to get more profitability in terms of margins.
• Pharma and chemical sector are looking very very strong
• Most of the demand from pharma and chemical is new demand.
Operation:
• Operation were at normal levels and see
• Launched new product which is in green market and improved the technology.
• Provide power in all areas in significant manner
• Witnessed highest manufacturing in power number in last 8 years
New bringing:
• Real time electricity market launched in June and witnessed volum
Almost arounde and traded 2,350 MU in this quarter
• Green Term-ahead Market (G-TAM), launched on August 21, 2020 saw good response and saw volume of 75.01 MU during the quarter.
Updates on Industry:
• Ravi season is expected to be good.
• Agriculture sector is expected to deliver good growth in the coming months due to good rainfall
• Pesticides and Insecticides use was less in the coming quarter.
• 3 key products show good growth
• Prioritizing cash flow result to increase in cash flow
• Main focus remain to bring new and innovative product
New product:
• Launched 1 formulation product, and gradual pick up in sales
• 2 new crop nutrition product
Data facts:
• Opening of economy and there is uplift now from corona
• Market shares of company has increase 2.35. Currently at 17.5% market share.
• Market share of group and overall business was 24.4%.
• Market share product was ULIP at 30%, non Par at 37% and PAr at 33%
Data facts
• Policy sold over 4 lacs
• New margin business has seen good growth
• Main focus now is to control cost.
• 48 crores set for provision of Corona, and there is no need for additional provision issue.