As someone who is #irresponsiblylong both Bitcoin and DeFi, I cannot understand the constant tensions and bickering between the communities
In yesterday's daily, I explore why I believe Bitcoin and DeFi are symbiotic rather than competitive
Thread 👇
1/11 Bitcoin can be seen as "Digital Gold", with its like for like characteristics as a store of value being superior in every way
However, it's also much more than this as it's natively digital nature enables programmability, utility and financial innovation at software speed
2/ Bitcoin is not only a financial asset that is no one else’s liability, it can also be used as part of a broader financial system without becoming someone else’s liability
Rather than trust a counterparty, users need only trust cryptoeconomic incentives and human greed
3/ This is where DeFi comes in
DeFi is our first legit attempt at building the decentralised infrastructure that can give Bitcoin its utility without rendering it someone else's liability
4/ While the current iteration sits mostly on Ethereum and uses bridge tech with significant centralisation vectors among many other flaws, focusing on this is missing the forest for the trees
This is early stage tech and will continue to progress quickly
5 We see DeFi as building the open, borderless, trustless financial infrastructure of the future
However, this financial infrastructure is useless without liquidity and liquidity ultimately comes from assets people want
6/ While $USDT is currently the most liquid asset in DeFi, it inherits the dollar's monetary policy and we are bearish on its long-term prospects
We see BTC as the leading contender to become the base trading pair and reserve asset of the financial system of the future
7/ While short-term BTC strength may pull liquidity from DeFi, long-term it attracts more capital to the space, increasing liquidity and demand for Bitcoin utility provided by DeFi
Similarly, the growth of DeFi is good for BTC because it increases its utility and network effect
8/ There is already over $1B of Bitcoin on Ethereum being used to earn yield on AMMs, deposited as collateral and borrowed
As the ecosystem and technology develop, we expect Bitcoin’s utility to rise exponentially, increasing its liquidity and network effect
9/ While Bitcoin and DeFi tend to clash philosophically, with the former prioritising immutability (autonocratic) and the latter upgradeability (anthropocratic), it's worth remembering that different goals require different approaches
10/ An autonocratic approach might be the right way to build digital gold as robustness, predictability and security should be prioritised over everything else
However, it is not the right approach to innovation or iterating on early stage technology (i.e. DeFi)
11/ Ultimately, the vision of the world of self-sovereign individuals that both the BTC and DeFi communities believe in requires both BTC and DeFi to succeed
Rather than bicker, let's embrace the different methodologies and #buidl towards this vision together
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While my time investing in crypto and previously playing poker has gotten me used to experiencing large daily personal net worth volatility, it's never a pleasant experience
Short thread (by my standards...) with some ramblings that help me get through it 👇
1/10 Imo, some DeFi projects represent 10-1000x upside opportunities
Obviously, like all of crypto, it is extremely risky and can go to 0. That said, given the magnitude of potential outcomes, it just doesn't have to succeed that often to make it a massively +EV bet
2/10 As with all early stage tech, realising these outcomes will require 4-8 year holds
Unlike early stage tech, crypto investors will have liquidity, i.e. the possibility, and thus the temptation, to sell
With the yield farming craze and recent market drop, we've begun to hear calls of a so-called "DeFi Bubble", with a few arguing DeFi has topped
In today's daily, I take a longer term view and look at YF, DeFi vs ICO boomand where I think we are in the cycle
Thread 👇
(1/27) First, it's important to realise speculation has always been crypto's killer app
The ICO boom was only the most extreme example, but crypto's history is dotted with boom and bust cycles, dating back to 2013 and Namecoin, Mastercoin (now Omni) and Maidsafe
(2/27) For those who lived through the ICO madness, the recent food coin high season 🍣🍠 🍝 may bring flashbacks of the futility coin fuelled 2017 boom (ht @Obstropolos)
While the underlying mechanism is the same, there are some fundamental differences worth exploring
For my last two @Delphi_Digital dailies, I touched on DEXes, aggregation theory and long-term value capture, questioning whether AMMs are set to become the Airlines of Crypto.
Time for a thread
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(1/15) Aggregation theory, first suggested by @stratechery, describes how the internet changed value capture by commoditising distribution
Thus, suppliers could build direct relationships with consumers cheaply. Consumer choice exploded, necessitating the rise of aggregators
(2/15) A similar phenomenon is happing with DEXes
While initially users interacted with their favourite DEX directly, aggregators such as 1inchexchange, DEX.AG and others have emerged allowing users to get best execution on trades across all active DEXes