Updated hospital admissions and deaths for England, starting with admissions. Today sees 900 breached for the first time, but there are signs of a slight slowing of the growth rate, doubling in 16 days. Early days though, as we saw a similar easing in late Sep, soon reversed. 1/4 
For deaths, the doubling time is faster, at about 10 days. We've also seen 100 deaths breached, with 117 reported for the 17th already. A reminder for new readers, we uplift recent days to allow for reporting lags, using a standard actuarial method based on recent delays. 2/4
Our estimate of R is drifting down slightly, consistent with admissions growth, but you can see from the volatility that stronger evidence is needed before any firm conclusion can be drawn. What might be behind any easing? We'll look at the regional picture next. 3/4
Looking at the growth rates, the north is continuing to show lower growth, and indeed the NW has stalled in the last few days, which is an encouraging sign. The Midlands is catching up though. At the other end, SE growth of 13% is very low, and a marked contrast with London. 4/4.
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