How’s your Sunday going? Do you have enough reading material?
ICYMI - here is some of our group’s output from the week just gone.
1. We started the week with an exploration of the statistics and real life implications of #superspreading from @Sharpe_Actuary
ICYMI - here is some of our group’s output from the week just gone.
1. We started the week with an exploration of the statistics and real life implications of #superspreading from @Sharpe_Actuary
https://twitter.com/covid19actuary/status/1318098124943085573
2. Next @john_actuary examined Monday’s @ONS report on excess mortality at home that has been seen since the peak. He (and ONS) highlighted the crucial context that deaths overall have been no higher than usual (since the peak) so this just represents a shift between settings.
https://twitter.com/john_actuary/status/1318121644993499136
3. On Tuesday we shared the latest report from the Continuous Mortality Investigation (CMI), part of @actuarynews.
They found that death rates in late Sept and early Oct were very similar to 2019. So the COVID-19 deaths were not yet translating in higher death rates overall.
They found that death rates in late Sept and early Oct were very similar to 2019. So the COVID-19 deaths were not yet translating in higher death rates overall.
https://twitter.com/COVID19actuary/status/1318576229730160643
4. On Thursday we examined the issue of False Positives, in a bulletin written by @longevitymatt. Using clear examples, Matt illustrated that false positives are very unlikely to be leading to a significant overstatement of confirmed cases.
https://twitter.com/COVID19actuary/status/1319185213390524417
5. A short thread on Thursday from @John_actuary examined the latest Flu and COVID surveillance report from @PHE_uk. There is little sign of flu so far this year, which is obviously welcome, though COVID levels are high and rising (for most groups).
https://twitter.com/john_actuary/status/1319289878895472645
6. @john_actuary was back again on Friday with a short thread looking at the latest @ONS Infection Survey. That showed around 433 thousand new infections in the latest period - another significant increase.
https://twitter.com/john_actuary/status/1319601538055262208
7. We rounded off the working week with our usual Friday report - issue number 26. These are a real team effort, with @NicolaMedical, @longevitymatt and @John_actuary holding the pen this week. Are there lessons to be learned from medieval plagues?
https://twitter.com/covid19actuary/status/1319694325631025153
8. On Saturday @NicolaMedical examined the latest @ICNARC report into intensive care admission and deaths. There have now been nearly two thousand ICU admissions in the second wave. Death rates seem to be worsening, but are still much better than the first wave.
https://twitter.com/nicolamedical/status/1319935215092047873
9. Finally, on Saturday evening we released our latest summary of English hospital admissions and deaths, with our updated R estimate and a detailed look at regional hospital admissions.
Thank you to all our volunteers for the efforts you are putting in to keep people informed!
Thank you to all our volunteers for the efforts you are putting in to keep people informed!
https://twitter.com/COVID19actuary/status/1320045730472615937
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