1\ Has anyone seen data that compares guilds who ration supply through cap and trade (NYC taxis, floor brokers) to guilds that ration supply through arbitrary certification (doctors, lawyers, teachers, London taxis)?
2\ To keep supply below demand, certification must be stultifying; it must include material irrelevant to the job. Hence the legions of dimwit teachers and doctors

I would think cap and trade gets closer to efficient Coasian outcomes

But I don't know how to test the theory
3\ Though the comparison between NYC and London taxis suggests a direction for inquiry. Are credentialed taxis more expensive than taxis that just have to buy a license and pass a minimal geography test?
4\ Addendum: why must certification be stultifying? Why can't it select for, say, high intelligence and genius unneeded on the job?

Because for rationing to work, those qualities can't be valued by customers. So anyone who has them will, on the margin, seek work elsewhere

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More from @ElonBachman

23 Oct
1\ There's a sort of "science homily" about limes and scurvy:

That Lind did a randomized control trial with limes, completely eradicated scurvy, and then was ignored by the scientific establishment because they were all idiots

I was surprised to learn this ain't so...
2\ The proceedings from the Royal Society of London make it clear that the scientific establishment was, well, scientific. It's just that the data was confusing!

First, the proposed mechanisms of action didn't make sense: Image
3\ Second, there were cases where scurvy happened despite lime juice, as well as cases where scurvy was avoided despite a diet of only meat: Image
Read 5 tweets
23 Oct
1\ Many of my conservative friends part ways with me when it comes to immigration

They believe in free association but see problems when it comes to free movement of people across borders

What about crime? Welfare? Voting?

There's a comic book that addresses these concerns! Image
2\ My notes from the book: Image
3\ I'd like to see @bryan_caplan address the criticism that some of his rebuttals ("Immigrants aren't that socialist!", "They don't commit much crime!") are plausibly true only *because* of immigration restrictions

Would those rebuttals hold with fully open borders?
Read 4 tweets
19 Oct
1\ Just took three flights and passed through four airports, three of which are among the world's very busiest.

I was surprised by airport mask culture.

A thread...
2\ Entered first airport wearing mask. 99.5% of people masked. I immediately slipped mine down below my nose.

At check-in I took it all the way down. No comment from friendly check-in lady

Thought for sure security would scold me
3\ Nope. ID checker guy didn't care. Guys yelling about shoes and laptops didn't care.

MRI scanner guy pantomimed for me to mask up in the scanner, so I did, then immediately took it off.

No weird looks last the gate.

Thought for sure gate people would hang me...
Read 8 tweets
25 Sep
1\ I'm glad Colm is speaking out about lockdowns, but I'd like to make a somewhat pedantic point about civil liberties

The problem is that different people realize lockdowns are terrible at different times

For Colm, it's obvious today, in September...
2\ But for those looking at the age stratification of IFR in Wuhan in Jan/Feb, it was obvious *then* that lockdowns were a bad idea

By March, Korean data made it *absolutely* clear that the young were not at risk
3\ So, the point at which you realized lockdowns were absurd depended on how close you were to the data

Which means we have a game of "least common denominator"

The world is held hostage until the most dim-witted apparatchik realizes COVID-19 is just a bad flu
Read 5 tweets
24 Sep
1\ In the 1980s, the world was confronted by a scary new epidemic: HIV and AIDS

Like COVID-19, it quickly became politicized. Except that in the 1980s, it was the Right arguing for lockdowns, and the Left defending civil liberties.

Let's take a spin through history...
2\ Like NYC mayor Bill DeBacle today, mayor Koch created a false dichotomy between civil liberties and "saving lives":
3\ NYC even latched onto the phrase "If you save one life!"

In 1985, this vapid catch-phrase was used by the overtly religious

Today, the *exact same* phrase is used as a mantra by secular elites, who cannot admit that they have fallen for an ascientific religion
Read 7 tweets
22 Sep
Ok, Twitter electricians:

Just lost power in *half* my condo unit

Flipping the breakers does nothing

The outlets that lost power can still power very low voltage devices (electric shaver, etc.)

What's this imply?
Ok, so they took the breaker panel off the wall, and one (some?) of the breakers had corroded contacts where they attached to some sort of rail thingy

So they are going to put in new breakers for now, then replace the whole panel later

Thanks everyone!
Read 6 tweets

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