One key difference between now and 2016 is that the mainstream media isn't doing elaborate exposition of key plot points from the Fox News cinematic universe. As a result, Trump's attacks are unintelligible to people who don't speak Breitbart.
Those foreclosure incentives change dramatically if he loses. He also faces unprecedented legal jeopardy that will only increase once he is out of office. Dangerous incentives for a would-be authoritarian.
This is the nature of tail risk. We should acknowledge uncertainty but focus first and foremost on the very real danger. Experts are gravely worried. We should act now not ask later why warnings weren't heeded (see: 9/11, Chernobyl, etc.).
A real sentence about the President of the United States: "Multiple U.S. officials with access to the intelligence have said Mr. Trump has been doing the job of the Russian propagandists for them." nytimes.com/2020/09/22/us/…