Lots of data now to suggest youth vote highly motivated this election.

Using @TargetSmart's TargetEarly data 18-29 y/o share of early vote up 31% from 2016, a remarkable thing.

Youth much bigger slice of a much larger early vote pie. Not sure many saw that coming. (Thread)
Increase in 18-29 year old share of early vote in select states:

MI - 120%
TX - 55%
MN - 37%
FL - 35%
WI - 31%
GA - 21%
AZ - 19%
NC - 16%
OH - 15%
NV - 13%
At this point 4 years ago 1.2m 18-29 year olds had voted.

As of last night 3.9m 18-29 year olds had voted.

See this new study from @CivicYouth on the strong youth early vote - lots of good data. circle.tufts.edu/latest-researc…
Very insightful new analysis from @RonBrownstein on the importance of what's happening here with young people.
Here's the state by state data on the high early vote youth turnout from Clean and Prosperous America, a smart new organization working in the youth and climate space. cleanprosperousamerica.org/10-23-2020-you…

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More from @SimonWDC

22 Oct
The daily struggle inside the Administration to prevent Trump's fantasy world view from doing too much harm to the country has been breaking out in the open quite a bit of late. Let's review a few examples:

politico.com/news/2020/10/2…
A bit hard to believe that Barr has become part of the insurgency, but apparently even he had lines he would not cross.

washingtonpost.com/national-secur…
DOD continues to push back against Trump's Afghanistan strategy.....

nytimes.com/2020/10/12/wor…
Read 7 tweets
15 Oct
Given how many times Trump and Rudy had been warned by the IC this anti-Biden stuff was an effort by Putin to launder disinfo into US politics, and that our govt declared one of Rudy's top contact a Russian spy, it's hard not to review this busted op as something akin to treason.
As I was saying - the President and Rudy knowingly worked with Russia (again) to try to damage Biden even after they were told by the Intel Community it was a Russian op.

If treason isn't the right word for this, what is?

Need to remember that the two men working directly with Rudy and the President - Parnas and Fruman - were arrested last year, and that Parnas said their efforts to get Biden were directed by the President himself.

medium.com/@Simon_Rosenbe…
Read 6 tweets
14 Oct
So, friends who just joined me for our Poll Roundup. A few links, as promised:

The #flipthesenate fundraiser this Friday w/@BarackObama

My home base for most of my data @FiveThirtyEight @NateSilver538 fivethirtyeight.com
Read 7 tweets
14 Oct
1/Barr has done a lot of very heavy lifting for Trump, but keeping Rudy out of jail may be his most significant achievement.

Perhaps why he couldn't also save Bannon, Cohen, Flynn, Fruman, Gates, Manafort, Parnas, Parscale and Stone - had to prioritize.
2/Every attack against Biden has failed over the past two years. IC's been warning that all this Ukraine stuff was coming fr Russia. Senate report, unmasking, Durham all duds.

This new thing is crude, implausible and proves nothing.....it's pathetic.

3/Can we also marvel at how derivative it is of 2016 - mystery laptop appears w/damaging emails! Trumpworld, Fox, r/w ecosystem go crazy. Media bite. It turns out to be nothing in the end.

Helps explain Trump's bizarre attacks on Hunter at debate - he knew it was coming.
Read 6 tweets
12 Oct
It's truly unbelievable that major GOP officials who've had COVID are returning to public life, ignoring CDC protocols, threatening to infect their colleagues/staff/supporters, w/o confirming 100% it is safe for them to do so.

Other nations should be looking at this in horror.
It remains unfathomable and deeply deeply corrupt that 4 years after establishing a new precedent that the will of the voters in a Presidential election year should determine a SCOTUS pick, Rs are moving ACB in midst of in clear electoral rejection of everything she stands for.
My god do we have do everything we can to vote these reckless lunatics out of office. This really is too much for all of us to take now.
Read 7 tweets
11 Oct
Until the President's MD does just a full on television briefing with questions we have to assume Trump still has COVID, remains contagious.

It's critical that people thinking of attending Trump events be made aware how many Trump et al have infected.

politico.com/news/2020/10/0…
The event Pence did YESTERDAY in Florida would not be allowed in any other modern nation. Large gathering, no social distancing, lightly masked, almost all SENIORS.

WTF has happened to the GOP? They are ending the election by trying to kill people.

Trump/GOP's failure to do what was required on COVID, incl course correcting when it was clear their non-plan was KILLING PEOPLE, remains hard to understand, explain.

But a failure of this magnitude can keep a party from power for decades - see 1932.

Read 4 tweets

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