Let me tell you what the typical day in the National Security Advisers office look like..

1. Boko Haram attack in the North East
2. Mali insurgents from the collapse of the regime
3. ISWAP
4. Possible BokoHaram attack in other parts of the country.
5. Bandits in Katsina, Zamfara, Sokoto, Kaduna, Niger state.
6. Ethnic conflicts in Taraba, Kaduna, Benue, cross River, Ebonyi
7. Kidnappers along Abuja / Kaduna highway
8. Vandalism of oil installations and pipeline across the country
9. Farmer herder clash
10. 6m people in IDP camps made worse by recent flooding, this is the size of a country in Europe.
The EndSARS movement got the attention of the govt, we could have been protesting against persistent bomb blasts in Ikeja / VI or bandits on 3rd mainland or Lekki / Epe expressway
11. Secessionist agenda by various groups.

12. IDP camps getting filled up, the people need to go back to their communities to start their lives. If they leave the camps forcefully it's a refugee crisis. You know the rest..

When we got the attention of the govt with EndSARS
We were supposed to release the choke hold in form of protests in a highly volatile society with weak institutions that can descend to anarchy in minutes. No government is trusted 100%, the citizens set up monitoring and evaluation systems to put the govt in check.
Set up reporting and monitoring lines to check if SARS officials adhered to the instructions given.

Douse the tension but put everything in place to return to protests in 4 weeks if visible changes aren't seen in the communities. Educate the citizenry on their rights..
and what to expect from police officers. Work with the police to roll out jingles against police brutality and the disbanded SARS group. Follow up on the judicial panel..

In all protect peace, prevent further loss of lives and properties.

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More from @fimiletoks

23 Oct
The agitation and awareness must not die. Form think tanks - research and policy groups. Start today by engaging your LG chairman. Accountability starts from the grassroot, move to the assembly members and let them know that they will be voted out. Democracy is about numbers..
If you cannot hold your LG chairman accountable, you will struggle to hold any soul in Abuja accountable. Find out what is happening to your roads, health centres, public schools, drainage, waste management etc.
Find out why there is no community health insurance, find out from the house of assembly why people don't have municipal water supply. How much is the cost? Who can do it..
If we cannot stop corruption at this level, then we are joking..
Move to the governor and law makers
Read 6 tweets
23 Oct
Few days ago, I made a statement here that you cannot change a system or society you do not understand. A reformist, must understand the structure and the powers at play. In Nigeria, we run an ineffective centralized form of government. Power is at the centre, 200m people..
6 regions, 36 states and 774 LG. In this same country, we have the military and the paramilitary forces actively involved in daily combats with terrorists, bandits, kidnappers in at least 18 states of the federation. Ethnic clashes in Kaduna, Banditry in the Northwest, kidnapping
In major parts, terrorism in the North East, farmer/ herder clashes in the North central and some parts of the South. Major insecurity challenges, in some states people cannot sleep at night with their eyes closed. It's a reality and everything ends up at the centre.
Read 7 tweets
13 Oct
Quick check at other issues, 3 days ago I went on a tour of a private hospital in Lekki. During the tour we started discussing about healthcare investment and infrastructure in Africa. Mediclinic chain in South Africa, Aga Khan hospital in Nairobi and Korle bu in Ghana.
Nobody mentioned UCH. Korle bu Hospital in Ghana is the pride of West Africa, it is the centre of excellence. Even though UCH which became a teaching hospital about the same time 1950 - 1960 is now a shadow of itself. Korle bu over the years has expanded from 200 beds - 2000 beds
Multi specialty centre. The FG of Nigeria has used subsidy and underfunding to kill UCH. Rather than explore universal insurance coverage and a PPP arrangement, they are fixated on an idea that cost even though unsustainable must be low. Image
Read 7 tweets
13 Oct
Please show us your methodology. The CPI basket and the weights / share of household budget. You cannot 'accurately' predict our inflation based on black market fx rate. 56.5% of Nigeria's household income is spent on food. Yam, cassava, rice, maize, millet, meat..
A lot of this items don't have dollar component. They are locally sourced so you cannot based this 56.5% weight on black market rate. 51% of Nigerians live in the rural communities and majority of them grow what they eat with limited exposure to black market fx.
Fuel and light takes 5%. Fuel importation is pegged at the CBN rate not the black market rate.

Education 6% - NBS statistics show that most Nigerians are in public school system. The exposure to fx rate comes with overseas schooling / private schools in urban areas.

Rent 5%
Read 7 tweets
3 Oct
If you don't know the name of your LG chairman and the amount disbursed from Jan 2020 - August 2000, you have no business talking about restructuring.
Abuja, Abia, Adamawa, Akwa Ibom
Anambra, Bauchi, Bayelsa, Benue LG allocation for August.
Read 11 tweets
2 Oct
Out of Nigeria’s 108,000km of surfaced roads the FG has just 32,000km or 18%. 82% belongs to states and LGs. If the FG fixes the 32,000km / 18% Nigeria will still have terrible roads.

Out of the over 2000 government hospitals in Nigeria, the FG has just less than 75.
We can go on and a do the same analysis for the educational sector. How many schools belong to the FG? True development will come at the state and local govt level.
No country develops from the centre. It's done at state or provincial level.
How do we surmount the problem of road infrastructure and healthcare? The FG cannot do it! The state government must find a means of fixing the infrastructural, healthcare and educational gap. I wrote a thread on trusts and private sector involvement in infrastructure, health
Read 6 tweets

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