1/ It's intuitive for smart people to see Bitcoin as a ponzi/bubble at first.
Why?
Because MONETARY VALUE is DEPENDENT on OTHER HUMANS. If you are trapped on a island alone, monetary goods (dollars, gold, bitcoin) serve no use for you.
2/ However, a fishing pole is valuable whether you're alone or not.
Like most goods, it isn't dependent on other humans to be useful.
It's a tool that will help you obtain food whether you're alone or with billions of other people.
3/ But just because Bitcoin's value is DEPENDENT on OTHER HUMANS doesn't mean it's simply a ponzi based on a "collective hallucination".
4/ It's important to understand WHY so many people are so passionate about Bitcoin. It's because of Bitcoin's superior monetary properties.
It's the monetary Schelling point bc of it's scarcity, divisibility, portability, etc.
1/ The Bitcoin stock to flow model by @100trillionUSD describes that the price of bitcoin can mostly be explained by its ever increasing SCARCITY.
Today I will explain how this is rational.
$1+ Million Bitcoin is inevitable.
2/ Bitcoin is a good. A toothbrush is also a good. Certain properties make some goods better than other goods for specific use cases. A toothbrush needs to have an appropriate size, a secure handle, and soft bristles (if you plan on using it to brush your teeth).
3/ Certain goods are well suited for brushing teeth (like a toothbrush), and some goods are well suited for being used as money.
Goods that are well suited to be used as money have the following properties: durable, divisible, transactable, fungible, portable, and SCARCE.
1/ If you have a net worth over $1 Million and own 0 Bitcoin, you need to read this.
2/ Bitcoin is the next and final evolution of money. It will usher in a new economic paradigm that will fundamentally disrupt the existing fiat banking system.
3/ Bitcoin has a radical built in incentive mechanism. It's called scarcity. Almost nothing in life is absolutely scarce other than loved ones, fine art and Bitcoin.
2/ The average person does not know this, but the 2017 Bitcoin bubble was not the first time we saw this significant price rise and rapid decline. There have been countless other bubbles.