@wooldridgemike 1) I'm not going to try to explain why you're almost surely dead wrong about AGI being far away, in the inadequate format of a series of tweets, however in this thread I will give some links for folks who want to do some more in-depth reading/listening on the topic ...
@wooldridgemike 2) Re ur historical analogies, I won't insult the intelligence of the Twitterverse by giving a bunch of links regarding the concept of exponential accelerating change. But it's a real thing. The amount of change that used to take a century can (sometimes) now just take years.
@wooldridgemike 3) Indeed the bulk of commercial AI dev (including AGI-oriented dev) is not grounded in any deep theory of general intelligence. But there is a lot more depth in the AGI research community if you care to look. Deep NNs are not the most interesting stuff going on AGI-wise.
-- in time I'll write this stuff up more systematically
@wooldridgemike 5) I covered some of these ideas more informally and with more broad context in my marathon interview w/ @lexfridman on AGI earlier this year,
@wooldridgemike@lexfridman 6) My current practical effort to create human-level AGI is centered in the TrueAGI project trueagi.io, a spinoff from SingularityNET. TrueAGI is working on scalable AGI systems based on the OpenCog Hyperon architecture, wiki.opencog.org/w/Hyperon
@wooldridgemike@lexfridman 7) To get slightly closer to the devilish details of current actual AGI-oriented work, see the talks by myself and Alexey Potapov and others on OpenCog Hyperon at the OpenCogCon event earlier this year,
@wooldridgemike@lexfridman 8) In short, yeah by looking at corporate deep NN work it's easy to get the idea that AGI is super far away and nobody has any fundamental idea how intelligence works. But there is a lot more going on in the AGI R&D world than that.
@wooldridgemike@lexfridman 10) While Big Tech is working on DNNs that maximally leverage their advantages in data and compute power -- and pundits wax lyrical and historical about how far off AGI is -- meanwhile some of us are building the real deal and accelerating fast!
• • •
Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to
force a refresh
1) Part of how I'm thinking about the value of tech to help w/ global inequality — in 10 yrs from now, a huge amount of the value on the planet will be getting generated by new technologies that are now nonexistent or in nascent form
2) If we could tweak these new technologies so that their benefits were distributed in a more egalitarian way, then we'd have a fairer society 10 yrs from now , without redistributing any of current wealth and without requiring large changes in how people cope with legacy tech
3) This can be as obvious as low-cost solar power systems operating in a decentralized power grid ... or DIY CRISPR kits that can be used by physicians in third-tier developing-nation cities ...
1) I started poking around for a fairly comprehensive dynamical simulation model of the whole global financial s ystem. Government economic agencies seem not to have this from what I can tell.
2) Can you guess who are the only folks I chatted with who intimated they might possess such a thing? ... or at least something in that direction ... Yeah, some guys from Goldman Sachs, speaking off the record...
3) Holy information inequality Batman -- right? Having such a model gives the possessor a tremendous advantage in estimating the (absolute and conditional) probabilities of various future socioeconomic events
1) Ok so dramatic new revelations (not) — After OpenAI became ClosedAI, and sold out to Big Tech, it stopped being so open after all … egads, my faith in the benevolence and transparency of Silicon Valley elites is shattered ;p technologyreview.com/s/615181/ai-op…@_KarenHao
2) Those with longer than average memories may recall that a few years ago, OpenAI was funded by Musk and Sam Altman with a narrative of guiding AGI development in an open and beneficial direction… but from the start they were clear about their non-commitment to open source
3) OpenAI was founded with a $100M dedication of funding from Musk and Altman and others, but it was always a bit waffly —i.e. it wasn’t $100M put into an OpenAI account, it was some sort of MOU roughly committing conditionally for the future based on needs and progress