With two thirds of countries in the Middle East reporting a decreasing or stabilizing trend, Iran and Libya saw new highs yesterday. Jordan, UAE, and Lebanon are also at their highest levels of infection.
India reports continuous improvement. Yesterday, they reported 45,148 cases and 450 deaths. Both are the lowest for months. The testing positive rate dropped below 5% recently, indicating relatively adequate testing capability to identify new infections.
Europe yesterday: 215k. Italy 21,273, exceeding 20k for the first time. In terms of daily cases, Campania, Piemonte, Toscana, Lazio, and Veneto are all approaching the level of Lombardia during March, which was the epicenter of Italy during the first wave.
Croatia sees a new high of 2,421, with the daily average increasing by almost 10x in the past three weeks.

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More from @yaneerbaryam

27 Oct
A new impressive study on #LongCovid months after infection, with data on the probability of various symptoms and a unique mapping of organ damage and the overlap between them.

Anyone involved in corona policy must read it. It is worthwhile.

@Meir_Rubin

medrxiv.org/content/10.110…
201 participants, median age 44, 70% women, large majority not high risk. Only 18% hospitalized.

Median time 140 days from first symptom:

99% suffered at least four symptoms. 42% suffered at least ten.

In 66%, injuries in at least one organ, in 25% in at least two organs. Image
Injuries documented in heart, lungs, kidneys, liver and other organs. The brain was not tested.

Among the main symptoms: fatigue, muscle aches, difficulty breathing, headaches or joints, cough and even inability to walk. Image
Read 7 tweets
27 Oct
Massachusetts cases rising

"Five charts that show why people are worried about another COVID-19 surge in Mass."

Why wait? (see BCG report)

1/

msn.com/en-us/news/us/…
1. Wastewater tracking
2. Confirmed cases
3. Testing positivity (they are trying to hide the problem by including screening and repeat tests -- Wow)
4. Hospitalizations

2/ ImageImageImageImage
5. US confirmed cases

"The crucial question is: Will Massachusetts cases start rising like the national numbers or will the state be able to put the brakes on?"

Why wait? See BCG report next

3/ Image
Read 4 tweets
26 Oct
Great news! Senegal joins our Winners circle!

Less than 20 cases per day.

Last two days 8 cases and 14 cases.

Congratulations!

Keep going to zero!

How did they do it?

endcoronavirus.org/countries

1/
"Senegal's quiet COVID success: Test results in 24 hours, temperature checks at every store, no fights over masks"

"Hotels have been transformed into quarantine units. Scientists are racing to develop a cutting-edge, low-cost ventilator."

usatoday.com/story/news/wor…

2/
"This isn't the pandemic response in South Korea, New Zealand..

It's Senegal, a west African country with a fragile health care system, a scarcity of hospital beds and about seven doctors for every 100,000 people."

3/
Read 11 tweets
26 Oct
Boston Consulting Group (BCG) report:

“It’s Not Too Late to Crush and Contain the Coronavirus”

“the sooner a country can limit the spread of the virus…the shorter the period that the economy will be frozen, and the sooner people can get back to work”

bcg.com/publications/2…
"In many countries around the world, restarting the economy while fighting the coronavirus has turned into a protracted and arduous slog. Some countries that seemed to be..decisively controlling the virus, such as Germany,. recently experienced new outbreaks and hot spots."

2/
"Others, such as the US, are seeing a rapid rise in infection and hospitalization levels that may signal uncontrolled virus transmission. Both situations..forced..national and regional governments to delay reopening schedules and, in some cases, reimpose targeted lockdowns."

3/
Read 11 tweets
25 Oct
US yesterday 83,718, a slight drop from the record one day before. IL, OH, OK, CO, NM, and AK reported new highs.

Jamaica saw continuous decreases since its recent peak in September, yesterday reported 32, lowest in weeks.
Malaysia’s recent outbreak continues, with a new high of 1,228 yesterday. The daily average increased eight-fold in the past month. The average death toll is also at the country's highest level of 7 per day.
Since some countries don’t report much on weekends, Europe saw a slight drop in cases. Nevertheless, France set a new record of 45,422 yesterday, which was quickly broken by today's 52,010. France surpassed Spain in both confirmed cases and fatalities to be the second in Europe.
Read 4 tweets
25 Oct
For a physicist knowing RG (renormalization group) every problem starts by identifying relevant variables (what is important -> control parameters)

1/
Like having levers for controlling something and knowing what those levers are. For example: going into a car and knowing to push on the gas and breaks, and turn the steering wheel.

2/
If you don’t use these controls you can’t go anywhere, including where you want to go. If you do, then you can decide what to do and go there.

3/
Read 5 tweets

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