THREAD on Ukraine's Constitutional Court ruling from 27 October, when it ruled that it was unconstitutional to hold public officials criminally liable for intentionally providing deliberately false information on asset declarations.

1/x
kyivpost.com/ukraine-politi…
It also rescinded several powers of the National Agency for Preventing Corruption (NAZK). The CC ruled as unconstitutional the NAZK’s powers to verify asset declarations and monitor officials’ lifestyles for signs of corruption.

rferl.org/a/ukraine-s-to…
2/x
Free public access to officials' declarations was also made illegal, as were e-declarations meant to increase transparency. The CC rescinded NAZK’s right to access registers, draft reports on violations, and conduct anti-corruption inspections in government agencies.

3/x
As the CC is the sole body of constitutional jurisdiction in Ukraine, its rulings cannot be appealed or overruled.

4/x
kyivpost.com/article/opinio…
Director of National Anti-Corruption Bureau (NABU) Sytnik said that the CC’s ruling will mean that his agency would have to close some 100 criminal cases against illicit enrichment, while those 20 cases that are already before the courts will proceed. interfax.com.ua/news/general/6…

5/x
Several judges of the CC were being investigated by NAZK over allegedly failing to fully declare their assets. Curiously, head of the CC Tupitsky failed to declare land he purchased in Russian-occupied Crimea in 2018.

ru.krymr.com/a/news-krym-tu…

6/x
The CC’s ruling will be negatively assessed by Ukraine’s international partners, such as the EU and the IMF, as a major set-back to anti-corruption efforts, already problematic under @ZelenskyyUa.

ukrinform.net/rubric-society…
7/x
Implementation of anti-corruption measures was part of recommendations under the IMF’s $5-billion Stand-By Arrangement with Ukraine. This implementation had been already under fire i the previous weeks:

8/x

globalcapital.com/article/b1ntkh…
EU would be likely to freeze a lot of assistance programmes to Ukraine and even temporarily suspend visa free access of Ukrainian nationals to the Schengen area, a major achievement of recent years for ordinary Ukrainians.

nv.ua/ukr/world/geop…

9/x
Overall impact for Ukraine will be really bad, setting anti-corruption measures back by 1-2 years, and threatening financial stability in 2021. Ukraine needs continued external funding to manage its budget deficit.
kyivpost.com/ukraine-politi…
10/10
And final curious detail. The CC hearing on this matter was initiated in September 2020 by 47 MPs in the Parliament mostly representing pro-Russian oligarchic parties OPFL and For Future, including Medvedchuk, Rabinovych & Boyko.

nv.ua/ukr/ukraine/po…
11/11

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More from @AlexKokcharov

1 Sep
THREAD.

Given that I am currently in the middle of the old #Lemko country, here's a thread on who are Lemkos. They were an ethnic group residing in Western Carpathians along the current border between Poland and Slovakia

1/x
2/x Lemkos affiliation with other ethnicities is controversial, although individual Lemkos generally self-identify as a sub-group of Ruthenians and/or Ukrainians. Other ethnic groups identifying as Ruthenians and/or Ukrainian include the Boykos and Hutsuls.
3/x The spoken language of the Lemkos has been variously described as a language in its own right, a dialect of Rusyn or a dialect of Ukrainian. But due to proximity to speakers of Polish and Slovak, the Lemko speech was strongly influenced by these two languages.
Read 15 tweets
19 Aug
#Belarus THREAD.

We are 10 days after the rigged 9 August election and I see three potential scenarios for the months ahead. In 2 of these scenarios Lukashenka goes, and in 1 stays.

1/x
Scenario 1. Civil and labour unrest continue, damaging the economy and creating cracks int he elites, who start to defect from Lukashenka's admin. After losing support in his own government, Lukashenka goes - and most probably flees the country.

2/x
Scenario 2. Protests turn more violent in response to renewed police violence against the protesters. Protesters take over detention centres and government buildings. Violent overthrow of Lukshenka administration - he flees the country if he is lucky.

3/x
Read 5 tweets
9 Aug
THREAD.

Today is the day of presidential election in my native Belarus. It is the 6th election in Belarusian history. Only 1994 election was deemed free and fair, and votes in 2001, 2006, 2010 and 2015 were marred by electoral fraud and government repression.

1/x
When the election was announced in early May 2020, it was expected that they would closely resemble the vote of 2015. During which Lukashenka, in power in Belarus since 1994, ran against the crowd of extras who did not really present any threats to him.

2/x
It quickly emerged that Lukashenka would be challenged from an unexpected front. Not by the the established opposition, mostly confined to identity politics, but by new figures - banker Viktar Babaryka, YouTube blogger Siarhei Tsikhanouski and ex-diplomat Valery Tsapkala.

3/x
Read 21 tweets
21 Apr
A year ago, on 21 April 2019 in #Ukraine, 73% of voters elected president @ZelenskyyUa as the new head of state. I voiced my multiple concerns about his candidacy back in spring 2019, and now I can tell you: I TOLD YOU SO.

Thread 1/x
My main concern was correct: @ZelenskyyUa's incompetence led to political instability, with cabinet reshuffles and key officials being dismissed. Policy was inconsistent - this inconsistency scares investors.

2/x

Zelenskyi brought back to the government roles many people who have served under Yanukovych. There has at least a partial revanche of the regime ancien.

3/x

Read 9 tweets

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