Most of the people confidently predicting a Trump landslide are going to be wrong no matter what because they're specifically predicting "another Trump landslide" or "a second Trump landslide", when he barely eked out a win in 2016.
A piece of logic I've seen echoed around is "How is 320 electoral votes not a landslide when you only need 270?"

And it's like, take your pick:

1. Most winners get more.
2. You can't assemble them 1 by 1 so it's hard to get exactly 270.
3. Most people voted against him.
And as soon as you bring up "How can you call it a landslide when he lost the popular vote?" then that just triggers the automated reply of "THE POPULAR VOTE DOESN'T MATTER UNDER OUR SYSTEM, THE WINNER IS WHOEVER TAKES THE ELECTORAL COLLEGE."... but we're talking about landslides
If you can call it a landslide when most people voted against you and you got fewer electoral votes than most winners do, then the word "landslide" has lost all meaning.
And under that logic, sure, he got a landslide. So did I. So my cat. A landslide is anything and nothing.

And that's Trumpism, isn't it? Words mean nothing, they're either good words or bad words. The good words apply to Trump; the bad words to his enemies.

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More from @AlexandraErin

31 Oct
It's funny, I was just thinking about this story (the mid-air collision and the formation of the FAA) when reading about Elon Musk's determination to carve out a lawless frontier among the stars yesterday.
We didn't have an FAA until two planes collided over the grand canyon, which was the first airplane disaster to cost more than a hundred lives. "Regulations are written in blood," as they say.
We could not have commercial flight at nearly the level we do, for transit or shipping or any other purpose, without air traffic controllers and safety regulations. Could not.
Read 4 tweets
30 Oct
Remember when the big thing that all the borderline ancap libertarian tech guys were into was "sea steading" where they were planning on building floating cities with no pesky laws to stop people from, for instance, sinking them?
If there's ever a place for government safety regulations it would be an environment where one out-of-control industrial installation could kill literally everybody.
"But nobody would do that because they'd die, too."

But the logic of the marketplace is that *potential* risks get weighed less heavily than the *concrete and definite* cost of playing it safe.

It's a competition so if only one party is cutting corners, they have an advantage.
Read 4 tweets
30 Oct
"Body double" conspiracy theories, when you start pulling the thread by looking at other images from the same event with no time for a switch, really underscore how weird the way our brains process faces can be.
Like, I get it... I think the Fake Melania meme is hilarious and I look at the comparison pictures people make of "Real Melania" and "Fake Melania" side by side and the features they highlight and to my mostly faceblind self they do appear quite different.
But, like. Faces are geometry and a three-dimensional object with soft contours can look jarringly different when viewed at slightly different angles. This is why people have a "best side" and why the tilt of a head matters in portraiture.
Read 10 tweets
30 Oct
So who else is watching the Hocus Pocus reunion tonight?
I should specify that we're going to *try* to watch it. The platform hosting it, Eventive TV, doesn't appear to have an app for Amazon Fire TV and I couldn't get the TV's browser to sign me in. So I'm plugging my phone into the HDMI and using Samsung DeX.
The test video they have up for testing out systems worked fine but I have this lingering fear that if I try to watch an actual DRMed-for-pay stream this way I'll get a "protected content" error and a black screen. *shrugs* But, oh well.
Read 6 tweets
30 Oct
...reading this, I'm struck by Ken Williams's latter-day defenses of Walter Forbes, saying it's hard to believe he was guilty of deliberate fraud when he was "a Wall Street hero".

Like, what do you think gets valorized on Wall Street, Ken?

My father works in finance and one thing he said after Bernie Madoff's fall was that the numbers Bernie promised, the returns he supposedly showed, didn't make sense and had never made sense. They were literally too good to be true but too good (for some) to pass up.
And Forbes's dealings, per the linked QTed article, also had the "too good to be true" hallmark, always *just* beating Wall Street expectations.
Read 7 tweets
29 Oct
The one legitimate takeaway I think we can get from the "Biden corruption" story is: basically everybody in the professional orbit of Hunter Biden wanted to exploit his connection to the White House, and they all failed.

That's a pretty nice endorsement for Joe, isn't it?
It's like, "Oh, this strung-out loser's dad is the vice president. He's the president's best friend. We cultivate him and the world is our oyster."

In Trump World, this would be excused as: yeah, duh. Obviously. That makes you smart.
But then... nothing came of it. No favors for Burisma; in fact, the opposite - Biden personally pressured for the firing of a tame prosecutor that was going easy on them. Whatever anybody did or didn't think they were "buying" when they hired or did business with Hunter Biden...
Read 11 tweets

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