The @IEA says solar is king. Worth noting we @BloombergNEF say "wind retakes the lead from solar" because (very basically) with more granular modelling, wind electricity is just more useful at high penetrations. Blows in the early morning, in winter, etc.
about.bnef.com/new-energy-out…
about.bnef.com/new-energy-out…
I mean, we of Team Solar @BloombergNEF say "well next year we'll have a lower capex forecast and a slightly higher capacity factor figure assuming bifacial modules, so GAME ON" but that may not actually change the result here.
The global result also depends a lot on how sunny countries do economically. The model generally prefers to build solar, rather than wind, in relatively non-seasonal climates and those with lots of aircon.
I guess we think wind is king and solar is queen. Which I suppose works, if we *have* to gender electricity sources.
Further on, into the decarb of industry section which is a lot longer this time: @SebHenbest says we save about a third of primary energy just by electrifying everything, purely because it's more efficient.
EAF = either electric arc furnace, or according to top modeller @DrIanBerryman , "electric AF" 
A pretty picture for the wall.
(Yellows are solar, light blue wind, dark blue hydro, grey & blacks fossil fuels. This is in the Climate Scenario, not the Economic Transition scenario, and has a load of hydrogen in it).
(Yellows are solar, light blue wind, dark blue hydro, grey & blacks fossil fuels. This is in the Climate Scenario, not the Economic Transition scenario, and has a load of hydrogen in it).
Random stat: over the last 15 years Team Solar at BNEF has usually been majority female (even excluding me. Currently 6/8 female) and Team Wind has usually been majority male (currently 3/4 male, though was led by @TheRealAmyGrace for a while).
I draw no conclusions from this.
I draw no conclusions from this.
It has been pointed out to me that Team Wind's internal board is wrong and they're actually 2 women and 3 men at the moment. Plus both sector teams work with a small army of regional analysts (like @rohitgadre and @kaposeidon) and data analysts, which complicates the comparison.
Anyway: fantastic work by team New Energy Outlook. I'm largely going to decline to answer questions on it on Twitter because a. I was a very minor contributor to it and b. I'm meant to be doing some of my actual work.
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