I want to tone down my statements about this case.
Nobody ever knows for sure what a court will do. I've seen courts make some very bad rulings.
This case should get tossed out quickly, and I expect if this court goes off the rails, an appellate court will overturn.
1/
Nobody ever knows for sure what a court will do. I've seen courts make some very bad rulings.
This case should get tossed out quickly, and I expect if this court goes off the rails, an appellate court will overturn.
1/
https://twitter.com/michaelmorley11/status/1322623874027106304
It should get tossed out because this form of voting has already been found to be legal by courts, and it is too late to bring this lawsuit.
Even Kavanaugh said that rules can't be changed too close to an election. Obviously they shouldn't be changed after people vote.
2/
Even Kavanaugh said that rules can't be changed too close to an election. Obviously they shouldn't be changed after people vote.
2/
This is particularly true if voters voted according to the rules that were in place at the time.
My takeaway from this is that Republicans are terrified by the way they know people are voting.
In the end, these tactics don't work.
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My takeaway from this is that Republicans are terrified by the way they know people are voting.
In the end, these tactics don't work.
3/
Agreed. Ultimately voters have the power.
The only thing right now that really scares me is the possibility that not enough voters will vote Democratic in this election.
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The only thing right now that really scares me is the possibility that not enough voters will vote Democratic in this election.
https://twitter.com/ArtbyKGH/status/1322726067820376064
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My secret worry: The Senate. The key Senate races are too close for comfort.
I'm reasonably sure Biden will win by enough margins that we'll get through the next few months.
In fact, the Senate numbers remind me of Trump/Clinton 2016
5/
I'm reasonably sure Biden will win by enough margins that we'll get through the next few months.
In fact, the Senate numbers remind me of Trump/Clinton 2016
https://twitter.com/Dame_Mechanus/status/1322727664684249090
5/
This is the page I refresh constantly.
projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-election-…
Biden + a Republican Senate will stop the slide toward autocracy, but we will basically be treading water.
Biden + Democratic Senate means rapid changes (meaning a lot done in a year)
6/
projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-election-…
Biden + a Republican Senate will stop the slide toward autocracy, but we will basically be treading water.
Biden + Democratic Senate means rapid changes (meaning a lot done in a year)
6/
With voter suppression, you have to get ahead of the curve (so to speak).
We went through this in California: Once you get enough Democrats elected, they can take steps to make it harder to cheat and suppress votes. Eventually, voter suppression ceases to be a problem.
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We went through this in California: Once you get enough Democrats elected, they can take steps to make it harder to cheat and suppress votes. Eventually, voter suppression ceases to be a problem.
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Texas has stunned me these past few weeks. I always figured Texas would turn blue AFTER the US Senate became Democratic (because the US Senate would make gerrymandering harder, etc).
But Texas is going faster than I expected.
8/
But Texas is going faster than I expected.
8/
If you want to know what the future looks like in the US, my belief is that California tells the story.
Read this thread and notice the part about how the GOP, a shrinking majority, was able to gum up the works:
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Read this thread and notice the part about how the GOP, a shrinking majority, was able to gum up the works:
https://twitter.com/Teri_Kanefield/status/1163458857823117319
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If the GOP keeps the Senate, they'll be able to keep gumming up the works.
We'll all be frustrated.
I think we're in for an electoral map shift, with the mostly white rural states staying Republican.
Demographics are why Georgia, North Carolina, and Texas are going blue.
10
We'll all be frustrated.
I think we're in for an electoral map shift, with the mostly white rural states staying Republican.
Demographics are why Georgia, North Carolina, and Texas are going blue.
10
The states with demographics most like California will go blue faster.
Here's a roadmap for what it looks like when it happens:
11/
Here's a roadmap for what it looks like when it happens:
https://twitter.com/Teri_Kanefield/status/1163458857823117319
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To quote two of my favorite scholars, Steven Levitsky and Daniel Ziblatt, ethnic majorities rarely give up their dominance without a fight.
That's why the Harris County shenanigans (to use a mild word) don't surprise me.
I expect them to fight against what is coming.
12/
That's why the Harris County shenanigans (to use a mild word) don't surprise me.
I expect them to fight against what is coming.
12/
There are whites who are afraid of diversity.
I have a distinct memory. I expect other liberals whites had a similar experience.
I remember when someone said to me, "If whites are not careful, they'll end up in the minority."
I was 17.
I thought: "So?"🤷♀️
13/
I have a distinct memory. I expect other liberals whites had a similar experience.
I remember when someone said to me, "If whites are not careful, they'll end up in the minority."
I was 17.
I thought: "So?"🤷♀️
13/
Actually, according to political psychologists, about 1/3 of people across cultures have a fear of diversity.
See, for example, @karen_stenner
karenstenner.com
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See, for example, @karen_stenner
karenstenner.com
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Adding this here because I totally agree.
https://twitter.com/larabloomquist/status/1322740897843351552
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