I'm not sure who needs to hear this, but here goes... final election results are NEVER known on Election Night. All the votes are NEVER counted by and on Election Night.
SOMETIMES, and not always, can the broadcast networks and the AP call presidential elections on Election Night. That's because they have ENOUGH of the vote to know which direction the state is going or, in the AP's case, if the other candidate doesn't have a path left to win.
The AP didn't call the Trump-Clinton race until 2:29 a.m. Wednesday morning in 2016. And at THAT POINT, Trump was still leading in the popular vote. I wrote a post at 3:06 a.m. ET that said Clinton was likely to win the popular vote. And I UNDERESTIMATED by how much by 1.2m votes
CA's polls don't close until 11 p.m. ET. Their vote counting tends to be slow and lag on bc it has so many people. CA is already 10.6m in early vote, 74% of its 14.2m 2016 vote total. So it's almost assuredly going to top that when all is counted
Biden is also likely to win the national popular vote again. Think about the biggest states -- Biden will likely win BIG margins in CA, NY, NJ, IL. Which are Trump's biggest states he'll win by double-digits? Maybe IN, KY, TN?
This year, turnout is going to be record-breaking by all indications. Early voting is already at 65% of the 2016 total and going to keep climbing.
Some states, like NC, FL, AZ are expected to have much of their results known at poll closing time, because they can begin processing mail-in ballots ahead of Election Day. But lots of other states can't, which may lead to a slower-than-usual total vote count in many places.
And there is nothing nefarious in that. States canvass the votes to make sure they're legally cast. In close races, if a campaign has a problem with a ballot cast, they can contest them. But every state's recount rules are different.
Lawyers for both campaigns know what the laws are, and they know -- despite what you may hear from the president or surrogates -- that votes take longer than on Election Day to be counted. There's no room for conspiracy in elections. The vote count WILL CHANGE AND THAT'S NORMAL.
In fact, each state has laws for when they need to certify results, and none is on Election Day.

For example:

CA stretches all the way to Dec. 11
MD/MO/NJ Dec. 8
TX Dec. 3
NV/WI Dec. 1
AZ/CO/IA/MT/NE Nov. 30

And on. Here's the full list of dates: ballotpedia.org/How_and_when_a…
So don't listen to the noise. It's just spin. Follow the law, and let's hope everyone who is legally allowed to vote has their vote counted and have an accurate result through this Election Season NOT Election Day.
*68%

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
 

Keep Current with Domenico Montanaro

Domenico Montanaro Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @DomenicoNPR

9 Sep
“The president never downplayed the virus” — Trump’s press secretary.

Let’s recap:
1/ Feb. 10: “Looks like by April, you know, in theory, when it gets a little warmer, it miraculously goes away. hope that’s true. But we’re doing great in our country.”
2/ Feb. 11: “In our country, we only have, basically, 12 cases and most of those people are recovering and some cases fully recovered. So it’s actually less.”
3/ Feb. 24: “The Coronavirus is very much under control in the USA.”
Read 21 tweets
24 Mar
Thread: #Coronavirus is not the flu. Here's how they differ, per @NPR's @Pien_Huang:

1. COVID-19 is novel, and that means there's no vaccine and it's unclear how it will manifest
2. CV infects 2-2.5 people vs. 1.3 with the flu...
3. 20% of CV patients are serious enough to go to the hospital, 10x the flu
4. Hospital stay for COVID is 2x as long as flu
5. 8% get the flu. Some estimates are 25-50%, possibly up to 80%, could get CV w/o drastic actions taken...
6. CV could be 10x deadlier. 0.1% who get flu die; est. @1% who got CV have died from it
7. There are treatments for the flu. There are no approved treatments for CV
8. Flu wanes in warm weather; don't count on that for CV which is thriving in warm, tropical places
Read 4 tweets
25 Sep 19
Here's what we know now that the notes of the Ukraine call have been released:

1. Giuliani, the president’s personal atty working for Trump’s personal benefit, was pressing Ukraine to investigate the Bidens in private, overseas meetings. One, he says, was set up by State Dept
2. The Ukraine president brought up Giuliani to Trump, meaning it got to his level. He says, "...and we are hoping very much that Mr. Giuliani will be able to travel to Ukraine." Ukraine NEEDS U.S. $, and Trump knows that. He criticized Obama this wk for sending pillows & sheets
3. After the Ukrainian president mentions defense aid provided by the U.S. and thanks Trump, Trump then directly asks for a “favor” from the Ukrainian president -- to investigate the Bidens
Read 14 tweets
23 Sep 19
The stories of what @realDonaldTrump did and what @JoeBiden did with regards to Ukraine aren't even close to the same. Let's look at how:
1. Trump brought up a political rival and, if the WSJ story is true, he was pressuring a foreign leader, not only ACCEPTING foreign intervention on his behalf, like many in his campaign did in 2016 from Russia, but ASKING for it.
2. He employed his personal lawyer to lay the groundwork for this political attack and in seeking the foreign intervention. This is something Giuliani ADMITS to (cited in WSJ)
Read 16 tweets
29 Nov 18
Tweeting out series of tweets I hope help clarify timeline of what happened bw Trump camp & Russia bw Jan-July (through the conventions) 2016. This is based on court filings & @NPR reporting, building on this great timeline from @MilesParks @tamarakeithNPR npr.org/2017/10/31/537…
Jan. 14: Cohen emails Putin’s office for help on Moscow project
Jan. 16: Cohen emails Putin’s office again, asking for a different high-ranking Russian official
Jan. 20: Cohen gets an email response from Putin’s personal assistant, requesting a phone call; Cohen calls, chats for 20 minutes; talks about securing land and financing
Jan. 21: Felix Sater contacts Cohen asking for a call and says it’s about Putin and that his office called
Read 19 tweets
20 Jun 18
1/ Reading through the executive order on family detention that @realDonaldTrump signed, there's another fight brewing, again related to the Flores Settlement but in reverse.
2/ Flores was brought as a class-action suit against the government and immigration officials because human-rights advocates didn't like how detained children were being treated. It took 12 years to settle (1985 to 1997).
3/ Part of that treatment was the LENGTH of detention. The courts said, with the Flores agreement, that the government couldn't hold kids for longer than 20 days....
Read 7 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Too expensive? Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal Become our Patreon

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us on Twitter!