Which races to watch, the role of postal votes and what happens if Donald Trump declares victory prematurely—our overview for election night. THREAD (1/11) econ.st/2HQyJQL
The state that matters most on Tuesday night is Florida. Joe Biden and Donald Trump are neck-and-neck there (2/11) econ.st/3kVjG6y
Other races to watch closely are: North Carolina, Arizona, Nevada, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Minnesota and Michigan (3/11)
We calculated the probability of either candidate winning the election if he wins one of these key states (4/11) econ.st/3oTzCss
Though our election forecast puts Joe Biden in the lead, Donald Trump could still find a path to victory (5/11) econ.st/3mLHQAU
In the past, postal votes have been counted late, leading to a late "blue shift", as Democrats are more likely to vote by mail (6/11)
This year, because of the pandemic, nearly 100m Americans have voted early—twice as many as in 2016. The high rejection rate of postal ballots could be a disadvantage to Democrats (7/11) econ.st/3kVlpJ4
The Economist's final forecast gives Joe Biden a better-than-19-in-20 chance of winning the electoral college (8/11) econ.st/3kW0l4X
News reports have suggested Donald Trump might try to call the results early or reject the result, a claim the president denies (9/11)
What happens if he rejects the result? We asked professor of law, Lawrence Douglas, for his view (10/11) econ.st/2TRvF97
Whatever the result of the election, Donald Trump's presidency is sure to have a lasting impact. What is his legacy? (11/11) econ.st/2HR77eh
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The persecution of the Uyghurs is a crime against humanity. The Economist and @1843mag spoke to Uyghurs whose lives have been torn apart. A thread: 👇 econ.trib.al/cozmUki
Documents seen by The Economist show that China’s campaign to crush the Uyghurs, a Muslim ethnic-minority group, has terrorised hundreds of thousands of children econ.trib.al/PSAQk9E
According to government records, in 2018 more than 9,500 children aged between 7 and 12 in Yarkand, a Uyghur-dominated county, at one point had one or both parents detained by the state econ.trib.al/VQGFPB6
China's persecution of the Uyghurs is a crime against humanity. It is also the gravest example of a worldwide attack on human rights. Our cover this week econ.trib.al/C2MimPa
Official local-level reports, seen by The Economist, provide damning evidence that China's persecution of the Uyghurs has terrorised hundreds of thousands of children econ.trib.al/5DEMZMS
Thousands of miles from Xinjiang, Uyghurs still live in fear of the Chinese state econ.trib.al/MFbZ7l1 From @1843mag
Covid-19 has now killed one million people around the world. How has the pandemic progressed—and where is it headed? Thread 👇 (1/13) econ.trib.al/KMbIfI2
The number of people known to have been infected with covid-19 now stands at more than 33m. But the true tally of cases and deaths is likely to be higher (2/13) econ.trib.al/2KKABCF
A better, if still imperfect, sense of the scale of infections can be gleaned from “serosurveys”, which look for antibodies against SARS-CoV-2 in blood samples (3/13) econ.trib.al/KMbIfI2
We have launched our forecasting models for America’s Senate and House races in November. A thread 👇 (1/10) econ.trib.al/57uJi1I
Our House and Senate models are updated daily as more data become available, and will conduct 4.7m simulated elections every day until the vote. Here’s how it works (2/10) econ.trib.al/gUuPh3R
Right now, our model thinks the Democrats are likely to win a majority in the Senate (3/10)
Dementia affects more than 50m people globally, a number that is rising fast. The world is not ready to cope. Thread 👇(1/10) econ.trib.al/G1jWT84
Some 82m people will have dementia by 2030 and 152m by 2050. Set against the size of the world’s population, these numbers may seem manageable. That is illusory (2/10) econ.trib.al/fRCauqu
Humane care for people with dementia will require vast numbers of people and huge sums of money—the WHO estimates an annual global cost of $2trn by 2030 (3/10) econ.trib.al/fRCauqu
You use artificial intelligence (AI) every day, mostly without noticing. It's how you're reading this tweet. But is today's AI technology really that world-changing? Thread 👇 (1/10) econ.trib.al/aECLbIO
In recent years, there has been a new wave of investment and research into AI. According to one prediction, AI will add $16trn to the global economy by 2030 (2/10) econ.trib.al/aECLbIO
Yet for all its strengths, AI also has serious limitations. As this realisation spreads, enthusiasm for the technology is cooling (3/10) econ.trib.al/uVYuDqd