Also of interest is Oregon's ballot tracker is reporting some ballot returns today (only 4K so far). Don't know how frequently this will update sos.oregon.gov/elections/Docu…
Will Oregon registered Republicans reach parity with Democrats on their mail ballot return rate today? They've trailed all along. This is an all-mail state, so this metric provides a tea leaf on relative enthusiasm electproject.github.io/Early-Vote-202…
NV #earlyvote update posted. They are so close at 99.8% of their 2016 turnout. Note that I do not include the rejected ballots that could be cured in their total returned and accepted ballots. If you include those, then they are >100% electproject.github.io/Early-Vote-202…
Colorado becomes the 6th state to surpass their 2016 total turnout in their 2020 turnout. There is some Election Day turnout in this report, so I can't say it is just early vote alone electproject.github.io/Early-Vote-202…
Starting to see modest evidence of Colorado Republicans closing the voting gap with Democrats. Democrats now have a +4.7 point edge, was +5.9 on Sunday. But also, the no-party affiliated are increasing, too electproject.github.io/Early-Vote-202…
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Biden's Nevada lead is going to expand. I imagine there are furious decision desk discussions happening right now as to whether or not to call Nevada for Biden. Given some media calls for Arizona, this would effectively make Biden the presumptive president-elect
The media orgs that haven't called Arizona might thus hesitate to call Nevada because they don't want to foster the perception that their collective calls mean Biden is the presumptive president-elect
I honestly don't know how Arizona shakes out. Biden looks good, but there is a fair amount of uncertainty. I wouldn't have called it yet
That is not a typo. The 2020 presidential election had the highest turnout rate in 120 years. There is still a fair amount of guesswork involving outstanding ballots to be counted. I will continue to refine these estimates over the coming weeks
2020's turnout in historical perspective. Highest in a 120 years, but not an all-time high
Washington turnout is going to go higher. This all-mail ballot state has the longest post-election period of accepting mail ballots, if the ballot has a postmark on or before Election Day
This report includes updates from AR, DC, IL, and MD
MN and WY #earlyvote updates posted. At least 96.2 million people have voted in the 2020 general election. @MNSecofState is indicating we may get a second update today, which is a treat since they've been posting only on Fridays electproject.github.io/Early-Vote-202…