That is not a typo. The 2020 presidential election had the highest turnout rate in 120 years. There is still a fair amount of guesswork involving outstanding ballots to be counted. I will continue to refine these estimates over the coming weeks
2020's turnout in historical perspective. Highest in a 120 years, but not an all-time high
Why was turnout even higher in the 1800's? Hard to say since surveys hadn't been invented yet. I chalk it up to a society much different. As de Tocqueville noted, we were a nation of joiners. Politics and political parties were a part of the social fabric of the nation
Look, folks arguing the franchise was limited in the 1800's. I get your argument and am very sympathetic to it, but it isn't a good explanation for turnout rate differences. Today, women have higher turnout rates than men; African-Americans have slightly lower rates than Whites
And the political machines did exist, and are likely an important part of the reason why society was different in the 1800s, but there is lots of historical research that shows the machines were not nearly as pervasive as the modern straw man characterization
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Biden's Nevada lead is going to expand. I imagine there are furious decision desk discussions happening right now as to whether or not to call Nevada for Biden. Given some media calls for Arizona, this would effectively make Biden the presumptive president-elect
The media orgs that haven't called Arizona might thus hesitate to call Nevada because they don't want to foster the perception that their collective calls mean Biden is the presumptive president-elect
I honestly don't know how Arizona shakes out. Biden looks good, but there is a fair amount of uncertainty. I wouldn't have called it yet
Washington turnout is going to go higher. This all-mail ballot state has the longest post-election period of accepting mail ballots, if the ballot has a postmark on or before Election Day
This report includes updates from AR, DC, IL, and MD
MN and WY #earlyvote updates posted. At least 96.2 million people have voted in the 2020 general election. @MNSecofState is indicating we may get a second update today, which is a treat since they've been posting only on Fridays electproject.github.io/Early-Vote-202…