This is huge. Now that he’s won Arizona, Biden can lose Pennsylvania and still get to 270 with Michigan, Wisconsin, and NE-2.
I wrote about Arizona’s importance for @NYMag last week. nymag.com/intelligencer/…
Joe Biden is the first Democrat to win Arizona since Bill Clinton beat Bob Dole by 31,215 votes in 1996.
Donald Trump beat Hillary Clinton by a narrow margin in Arizona in 2016, and it’s worth noting that he spent considerable time and resources there over the last few weeks, with multiple rallies — sometimes multiple rallies in one day.
It didn’t reverse his luck. Perhaps because, for the voters he was losing there — white college educated women — not seeing enough of Trump was not the problem.
Also it’s worth noting that Trump’s attacks on John McCain — and Cindy McCain’s decision to endorse Biden — did seem to harm Trump in AZ, at least anecdotally, according to several people I spoke to.

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More from @Olivianuzzi

4 Nov
At 2:20 AM, Donald Trump is speaking from the East Room trying to claim that the election is being stolen from him. At this time on election night in 2016, the results weren’t clear yet either.
Donald Trump claims he’s winning Georgia, but Georgia hasn’t been called yet.
TRUMP: “Frankly, we did win this election.” (He did not. The votes have not been counted.)
Read 7 tweets
1 Nov
OMG: as Donald Trump speaks in Hickory, North Carolina the structure holding up the American flag collapsed behind the crowd and the press area.
Video from right after the scaffolding fell over.
The American flag has now been removed from the scene and caution tape has been threaded around the press area
Read 5 tweets
1 Nov
At least 13,000 people are already here at President Trump’s rally in Hickory, North Carolina, per a Secret Service agent on the scene. The line to get in snakes at least a mile around the airport.
Well ok then.
Sometimes when the helicopter takes too long, they just start “Fortunate Son” over again until Trump has landed at his rally. I’m not mad bc CCR rules.
Read 5 tweets
25 Oct
Nothing is ever spicy enough for me and I finally encountered a chef who views this as a personal challenge, so he’s just bringing me various hot sauce concoctions waiting until I finally start crying. This is honestly my dream. Love you @SazonRestaurant 🧡💛❤️
Y’all. I stumped him. I’m so proud.
Read 4 tweets
24 Oct
As I was interviewing two QAnon supporters in New Mexico at a pro-Trump demonstration, a volunteer who said she was with the Trump campaign — and wore a Trump credential — came up and told me she was instructed by the campaign to stand next to me and monitor my interview.
At political events, this has occasionally happened to me. During the Dem primary this year, for instance, a staffer working for Michael Bloomberg tried to follow me around as I conducted interviews with people who showed up to a debate watch party at a Bloomberg campaign office.
Read 4 tweets
15 Oct
President Trump opened his rally in Des Moines tonight with a rant about Hunter Biden and the NY Post story. 20 days before Election Day, in the middle of a pandemic and an economic crisis, this is his message to voters.
Besides being an issue that probably won’t motivate any voters who aren’t already a part of his base, another issue with this message is that President Trump cannot pronounce “Burisma.”
Trump‘s Hunter Biden Hail Mary is an attempt to replicate their argument against Hillary Clinton (that she embodied “the swamp” he would drain). But they didn’t make that case on their own. Republicans spent over two decades calling the Clintons corrupt before Trump ran.
Read 4 tweets

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