Thread by @nbakic

1/x Covid - Europe: The 2nd Wave collapse continutes

We continue with daily overview using JHU data (+some) looking at 'fast' weekly changes (day over the same day the prev. week) this gives us an edge in being up-to-date.

@kerpen @BallouxFrancois @boriquagato @FatEmperor

2/x Changes in weekly growth rates reflect changes in R's, thus these charts roughly represent changes in R's. Now let's see for particular countries .... but overall looking at the continent gives us a 'situational awareness' since this is like a savanah fire ....

3/ Czechia and Belgium were 'second wave Lombardia' they are doing particularly well. In fact that's due to e.g. Czechia having 2,5% population officially infected in 5 weeks, with their dark probably some 25% - it had to stop.

4/ We have a nice illustration how Czechia chickened out with a needless lockdown (blue point) when the rates were already falling ... it 'might' start working just about now (10 days after intro), whereas the rates have already been negative for some time ....

5/x Some more countries from the north:

6/x Lockdown might or might not have worked for Ireland, the situation would have been the same:

7/x Turning to the south:

8/x Germany chickened out needlessly, there is a lockdown, but this development is not (yet) attributable to it:

9/x A said story called UK, Switzerland is also doing fine:

10/x Proud to be Croatian this time, our prime minister has just said we will not 'fall for a lockdown or curfew TRAP', he didn't chichen out. BTW Slovenia doing fine, much earlier then potential lockdown effects:

11/11 And there are some countries which haven't joined the movement as yet ....