Now it is up to a President Biden -- and forgive me, we DO know that is what's happening -- to view running the executive branch effectively as the main way to both deliver results and de-radicalize the country. (2/x)
Biden GESTURED at this theory of the case, but with no detail. And pelosi's STEADFAST AVERSION to oversight made it an unnecessarily hard story to tell. (3/x)
Here's my hot take -- one I kinda believe, even as I suspect no one will agree.
COVID-19 ultimately didn't hurt, and may have helped, Trump & the GOP in the election.
Arguments:
1. Biden will end up winning by amount he was beating Trump in head to heads pre-pandemic. (1/x)
2. COVID-19 became THE STORY, crowding out...well, all of the other stories.
3. It *IS* a pandemic, & 1 that throughout October became increasingly terrible across the world. Blaming Trump for COVID-19 much less fair than blaming him for cutting taxes for rich, anti-ACA, etc 2/x
4. Trump got to make essentially unchallenged claim that economy all good pre-COVID-19. Why blame him for a pandemic also crushing Europe.
5. Biden spent shockingly little time describing the medhanics of Trump's HHS/CDC effing up pandemic response, just assumed people knew. 3/x
My thoughts on the failed Schumer-Feinstein approach to #SCOTUShearings:
1. Polling to determine the best message for paid media is not relevant to earned media strategy. This ought to be basic, but it's been hard for Establishment Democrats to understand FOR YEARS. (1/x)
2. There's a kabuki style of question deflecting that means that Democratic Senators can NOT get the storyline out of straightforward substantive questions they seek.
So ACA, Roe, etc polling is irrelevant to what questions should be asked. The question is what can get noticed!
3. Democratic Senators should ask principally about:
A) Her violation of innumerable Washington DC laws in attending restaurants and the like while she and her family were REQUIRED BY LAW to quarantine.
1. Deaths statistic is being treated as factual even when we know it's a WILD undercount. This is deeply irresponsible. EVERY sentence referencing the stats MUST include the fact it is SERIOUSLY too low.
I *strongly* suspect red state/rural counts are WAY off, given inadequacy of testing & political incentives.
Why does this matter? By underplaying the human cost of our irresponsibly delayed social distancing, "stats based" people are facilitating a premature return to normalcy.
Statistics *seem objective,* and so limitations must be highlighted.
Questions I have about Bloomberg's financial disclosures, which he will hide from the public until after most delegates have been allocated: apnews.com/430ff49ba38506…
2. How recently was bloomberg long natural gas (directly or indirectly), and did that time frame intersect with his (otherwise wholly meritorious) anti-coal contributions? (2/x)
3. How many of Bloomberg's investments have a stake in who is the next Comptroller of the Currency?
4. How many of Bloomberg's investments have a stake in who is the next Chairperson of the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC)? (3/x)
@PeteButtigieg Portends pretty badly for antitrust policy in a Butigieg Administration that @PeteButtigieg thinks it's fine to have worked on pricing for a price fixing company & that's not one of the McKinsey clients about whom he is currently squeamish.