Brexit reminder: Time is running out for timely EP ratification. Whereas in the UK treaty scrutiny knows an override (sect. 22 CRaG 2010), the European Parliament actually has to approve a treaty. What does this mean and what would be a proper strategy here? /1 @davidmcallister
There is a cutoff point after which the EP won’t be able to do meaningful work if ratification is to take place before the end of the year. @berndlange , the head of the trade committee, has made that clear. /2
One of the problems here is that this deadline is not one fixed by law. But that does not change that you cannot scrutinise a 1000 page agreement in a day. So how best to proceed? /3
It seems to me the EP should give a clear deadline - but a realistic one in the sense that it is obvious that this is the deadline at maximum speed. But it should do more /4
It should make clear that it will absolutely still consider voting for a deal if that deadline is not respected. But it will then vote later. There will be a gap. Because unlike the WA the deadline here is in a way not fixed. You can always do an FTA. Now. In a year. In two. /5
The only problem is (and it is a significant problem, but there’s little that can be done about it if then parties cannot find agreement) that we’ll fall back on not having an FTA. /6

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More from @hhesterm

2 Nov
Reread this nice text on the importance of the UK in the international trade system, written by John Jackson, History, in Wolfrum/Stoll/Hestermeyer, WTO - Trade in Goods: "One person in particular must be singled out for his influence on the evolution of GATT: … /1
Sir E. Wyndham White, a British citizen who was the chief administrative officer of the UN group that provided services for the drafting conferences of the ITO and GATT. He became the first GATT "executive secretary", a post he held (…) until he retired in 1968. … /2
Although he was careful to give the appearance of playing the role of a typical international civil servant, that is, to be neutral among all parties and to avoid the appearance of taking initiatives that should be left to Members, Sir Eric nevertheless …
Read 4 tweets
2 Nov
The election lawsuits in the US are in full swing. The Hotze lawsuit concerns the legality drive-through voting in the wake of covid. Curiously the lawsuit already failed in Texas state courts. Now it is in federal courts. 1/2
Which again goes to show: a rather significant number of those emphasising states rights do not care about federalism at all. They care about the end result. They only refer to states rights where it furthers their cause 2/2
The Texas Supreme Court decision is available here txcourts.gov/media/1449868/…
Read 5 tweets
30 Oct
An important reminder that concepts of democracy differ in detail (though the last sentence fails to acknowledge this). Some examples (thread)
The UK has a monarch and a House of Lords. Not viewed as democratic in some other countries. But unproblematic in the UK system.
The Swiss system is often viewed as a model for democracy because people think of referendums. Not necessarily my ideal - but preferences differ there. One element nobody outside of Switzerlands understands is the Zauberformel.
Read 6 tweets
29 Oct
An academic comment on this: journalists are trying to have a high-level generalized debate on this topic. "The NHS can benefit from competition" (US politics) versus "The NHS is not on the table" (UK politics). This has nothing to do with actual Free Trade Agreements (/1)
The reality of FTAs is detail. And that detail is complex. Intellectual property is one of the core areas of debate when it comes to access to medicines and drug pricing. And IP has been part of trade agreements since TRIPS in the WTO. (/2)
The provisions the US asks for (and generally gets) in FTAs are of the utmost relevance to the pharmaceutical industry (Trump actually in this regard arguably differed from normal US positions), but can hardly be described by sentences such as "the NHS is on / off the table".(/3)
Read 4 tweets
26 Oct
The personal politics of a US-UK FTA are seriously overestimated, the real poltics on the ground ignored. (Thread)
1) Free Trade Agreements are massively, massively about interests. POTUS and PM might like each other, that's good'n all, but that doesn't change POTUS' approach to trade. And that is America First.
That is, of course, not a description or a reading between the line approach. POTUS is absolutely explicit about it. The US expects a win. For the US. What does that mean?
Read 9 tweets
26 Oct
Apparently the US elections and Brexit combined lead to rather particular takes on the UK, alliances and foreign relations. Allow me to make three points in this regard. My main point is at the end. Bear with me (thread)
1) The UK is and remains an important country. It is a P5 nation. It is a significant economic and military power. It is an important ally. Yes,...
... some of the statements made in the Brexit context will worry partners, as decision-makers claim increasingly that UK law allows disregarding international law. They regard Brexit as special, but many of these statements are now made as describing a general UK position.
Read 9 tweets

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