In the end, Sweden also locked down.
[1/
bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
This is the passage with the details of the measures.
[2/
I wrote a long article about Sweden's failed approach back in June, hoping this could be avoided. Unfortunately, people looked at the Summer recess in caseloads as a sign that the strategy had been successful.

They were wrong.
[3/
medium.com/@tomaspueyo/co…
Until very recently, this is the type of of message I consistently received about Sweden.

The gist of it was: "Sweden was right in letting the virus loose because that built herd immunity", even less than 10% of the country had been infected.
[4/

sebastianrushworth.com/2020/08/04/how…
They had to invent magical thinking, hypothesizing that somehow a poorly understood T-cell immunity was protecting Swedes.

[5/
I explained why this understanding was wrong back in August
[6/
Here it is, summarized in a series of DMs, where I predicted that the second wave would be... In October or November
[7/
In a perfect world, those who supported the Swedish approach would look at the evidence, adjust their conclusions, and ask the Swedish government to prepare to dance, so that they can relieve the lockdowns without a new spike in cases.
[8/
Unfortunately, I don't think the Swedish apologists will update their beliefs. In fact, I expect them to double down in their anger. But that doesn't matter.

What matters is whether the Swedish gov. does what's right.

I have little faith Tegnell will do it though.
[9/
He's consistently been given the same advice over the months, and he's consistently disregarded it.
[10/
svd.se/mejlen-avsloja…
Extracts from the article, using Google Translate:
Which means either Swedish politicians stop listening to him, or the Swedish population is on its own.
[12/12]

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
 

Keep Current with Tomas Pueyo

Tomas Pueyo Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @tomaspueyo

7 Nov
Theory on the US urban–rural divide in voting for Dems vs GOP:

Urbanites interact with a lot of different strangers all the time. That means they want regulations to address the new coordination pbms that constantly emerge.

[1/ Image
They also see +ppl different from them all the time, so they empathize with their plights, and are + interested in helping them.

These 2 facts mean they want + regulation & +care of minorities.

Hence +demand for regulation and social justice
[2/
Conversely, rural dwellers tend to interact with mostly the same social circles, usually of the same ethnic group, so they don’t experience other groups’ plights, and don’t empathize with them.
[3/
Read 8 tweets
7 Nov
Tertiary effect of the #coronavirus: International tax competition between countries

As remote work becomes the norm, ppl & businesses will relocate to cheaper places. Those w/ lower taxes will have an edge.
Countries / regions will want to attract these remote ppl & biz, and will lower taxes for them. Similar schemes already exist in Italy, Spain, Portugal, Puerto Rico...

But now with + remote & untethered, the incentive is stronger
The + taxes go down, the stronger the incentive to move, so the + ppl will, the bigger the price will be for regions lowering taxes, and the + taxes will go down.

Countries & regions will compete tooth & nail for them. Taxes will lower everywhere.
Read 8 tweets
3 Nov
Originally, the article "The Hammer and the Dance" was called "The Lockdown and the Release".

In this email, I explained what I was thinking for the article to a few volunteers who wanted to help Image
Originally, H&D was originally the name of just one section in the article. I also played with other names, like "Leaders, Buy Us Time" or "The Trigger and the Release".
As I was still debating with the volunteers how to name the article, @shishirmehrotra suggested that it should definitely be H&D. I don't think the article would have stuck as much if I hadn't followed his advice. It shows the serendipity of these things.
Read 5 tweets
2 Nov
Again:
NO COUNTRY HAS STOPPED THE VIRUS WITHOUT CONTROLLING ITS BORDERS

On June 25th, I alerted the EU that their internal border openings due on July 2nd were crazy. There would be a 2nd wave from ppl traveling from one country to the other.[1/

tomaspueyo.medium.com/coronavirus-ho…
Because they — and other Western countries — weren't paying attention, I wrote a 2nd article with the @NYtimes, on September 14th, going in depth into Fences, the border controls that are necessary to stop the virus.
[2/6]

Still, EU countries didn't close borders.
And now here we are.
[3/6]
Read 6 tweets
31 Oct
"@SpaceX will not recognise international law on Mars, according to the Terms of Service of its Starlink internet project."

As usual, the media is ten steps behind @elonmusk

Here's why these ToS make sense:
[1/

independent.co.uk/life-style/gad…
The media thinks this is a crazy multibillionaire wanting to free himself from the reigns of governments to do as he pleases.

In fact, he is probably trying to pre-empt war and make politics better.
[2/
The logic is exactly the same one as that of the USA's independence.

With a full ocean between the US and the UK, they grew apart. During war, information and troops took too long to travel, and supplies lines were too long.

One day or another, they would have broken apart
[3/
Read 14 tweets
29 Oct
You're busy. You want to quickly find an email you're looking for. Which one is best?

Very bad user experience in Google Icons.

Retweet if you want them to go back to the previous icons!

#AlphabetSoup
The best brands own their colors
I get it. They want to say "We're not Google. We're Alphabet. Like the letters of the alphabet, we're not just one company, we're a lot of companies. Like the colors of the rainbow."

Except that this is not distinguishable. Too many rainbow companies.

It's an #AlphabetSoup
Read 5 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Too expensive? Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal Become our Patreon

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us on Twitter!