The media thinks this is a crazy multibillionaire wanting to free himself from the reigns of governments to do as he pleases.
In fact, he is probably trying to pre-empt war and make politics better.
[2/
The logic is exactly the same one as that of the USA's independence.
With a full ocean between the US and the UK, they grew apart. During war, information and troops took too long to travel, and supplies lines were too long.
One day or another, they would have broken apart
[3/
Earth countries will obviously try to control Mars. They'll send their armies and ppl to settle and claim areas. The 1st outposts will likely be colonies.
[4/
But Mars and Earth are between 50 and 250 million miles away. The seasons are different. Gravity is different. Day length is different. The atmosphere is different...
How quickly do you think their cultures will diverge?
[5/
It takes light between 3 and 22min to travel from Earth to Mars, depending on how far they are. That means conversations are impossible.
[6/
Also, they're close to each other only once every ~2 years. When they are closest, it still takes ~6 months to go from one to the other.
So Martians and Earthlings will diverge. At some point, Martian outposts will want independence.
They will time it for when the window closes, giving them 2 years to prepare.
[8/
If Earth countries want to fight back, they will need to spend trillions of dollars to send armies that are big enough to fight back tens of millions of miles away in a gravity, atmosphere, and field they don't know, against forces that prepared for 2 years. Who will win?
[9/
There's been plenty of books speculating about this, and all reach the same conclusion for the same reasons — eg, Mars Trilogy
By placing these ToS, all the governments and companies that want to use Starlink must make a public pledge to give up their Martian ambitions. Since it's so far away, and really they don't care to commit to a promise they don't intend to respect, most will likely do it.
[11/
But now the public talks about this. The expectation changes with the conversation — with tweets like this one.
That's what @elonmusk wants: a public conversation on how Terrestrial countries should not rule Mars. That becomes a self-fulfilling prophecy.
[12/
At the same time, it opens up the conversation on how things should be ruled in Mars, without the baggage of outdated Terrestrial political systems.
If you were to start it from scratch, what would be an ideal political system?
Now you can dream again.
[13/
For context, this is the actual wording
• • •
Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to
force a refresh
I get it. They want to say "We're not Google. We're Alphabet. Like the letters of the alphabet, we're not just one company, we're a lot of companies. Like the colors of the rainbow."
Except that this is not distinguishable. Too many rainbow companies.
Who influenced you most on the #coronavirus pandemic? My list.
1. @balajis pierced my bubble when he started posting about the virus back in January, when most Silicon Valley ppl knew little & few imagined what it could become. He was prescient
2. @trvrb quickly started appearing in my @twitter feed. After over a year with no posts, he started posting on Jan 11th 2020 and never stopped. His work with strains opened my eyes to uncontrolled community spread.
The question that puzzles me the most about the #coronavirus: Why has Latin America had so many more infections and deaths than Africa?
This is prevalence (active cases/100k ppl)
~14x lower in Africa on average
[1/
And this is deaths.
15x lower
[2/
The main driver is probably not the measurement of either cases or deaths, since there are many countries in both regions, and their counting is probably similar on average. The Fatality Rate is broadly comparable too.
[3/8]
How does leadership and storytelling impact the success against the #coronavirus? A tale of two islands gives us a clue: the United Kingdom and New Zealand. Thread.
Islands have a strong advantage: They can more easily control and test who gets in and out.
[1/
Germany is doing an amazing job but still struggles, surrounded by countries full of infections, and without a strong fence.
Conversely, Taiwan, Japan, New Zealand, Australia or South Korea (de facto an island) have been able to control the epidemic. nytimes.com/interactive/20…
[2/
Great Britain is also an island. Yet the March outbreak was one of the worst in the world.
Partly, it's because the island is hyperconnected, and imported many infections early on. But also, the UK was slower than other EU countries in locking down.
The most stupid financial advice is probably “plan to retire at 65”.
1. That’s inspired by 19th century Germany’s retirement innovation, when life expectancy was closer to 60. In developed countries it’s now closer to ~85
[1/
2. That meant social security was viable then. It won’t be by the time most of today’s working ppl retire
3. We live longer, so we can work longer.
[2/
4. When you live longer, you also spend $ for a longer time, so you need to save a bigger amount while you work to survive retirement, so you enjoy your young age less, just when you should be enjoying it +
[3/
For me the country that stands out is Germany: How despite being in the very middle of Europe, highly connected, dense, surrounded by countries with massive prevalence, it's still doing pretty well.
[2/7]
It's no East Asian country, but it's also not an island with SARS/MERS experience. And it's not easy to control the virus when people from every other EU country — with few proper measures — are bringing you infections.