✅Only 15% of TX latino voters live in RGV and there was ecord turnout + support in the urban centers @UCLAlatino has great data on this
✅Record turnout in Arizona, especially from LATINAS will put Biden over the top
✅Record turnout from Latinos in MI + WI also put Biden over the top.
5x more early vote turnout in Michigan from 2016-2020. In Wisconsin early vote nearly tripled. And in both states that was largely driven by LATINAS. @mjfrias at @Catalist_US has great data on this.
This election illustrates the promise and the peril and nuance of the latino vote.
The truth is, once Nevada and Arizona are finalized, the story should be Latinos, who built a historic brown wall in the southwest, are sending Joe Biden and Kamala Harris to the White House.
Please continue to follow @EquisResearch for more nuanced data as we learn more over the coming weeks and months (we truly won’t know the real data until voter files are updated which takes many months).
There are many chapters to this book to be written.
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We've long said Latinos aren't a monolith. Tonight proves just that: the promise and the peril of the Latino vote.
Miami + FL are just a small share of Latino electorate that will shape the outcome of this election.
There is a lot of the Latino story that is yet to be written
Florida goes first and always grabs our attention but there is a lot more to be written tonight and the rest of the week.
As I’m in the middle of writing this, Arizona was already called for Biden on the strength of Latino voters in Maricopa County and Tucson.
Remember when we Colorado was a battleground state? Remember when we still needed to keep an eye on New Mexico? Years of organizing and the strength of the Latino vote in those states has taken them out of the spotlight but they are still an important part of the story.
What last night's RNC convention made clear: The GOP is making an effort to go after voters of color. We've been saying for ages that this election will be won and lost on the margins.
Their strategy is not to actually win the majority of these voters, but rather to shave enough off the margins or get enough of us to stay home. We've seen this plain + simple in how they've tried to discredit Biden with voters of color - seeding doubt and "both sidesism"
They are using race and nativism as a cudgel to divide black and brown voters. These small margins can add up to to a path to victory in critical states like NV, AZ, FL, NC.
The effects of the COVID-19 pandemic are felt globally and by all kinds of people. But they aren’t landing equally across the population here in the US.
@EquisResearch reviewed recent public polling to see how Latinos are faring. THREAD (1/)
1. On key economic questions Latinos report higher levels of concern and hardship at this early stage. 2/
2. Latinos also appear to be taking public health warnings to heart, expressing less comfort being in public places.
Notice Latino discomfort with public venues extends to the thought of polling places. Which is why so many are talking about alternatives to in-person voting 3/
Read my new @Medium piece
Solving for X: Here’s How the LatinX Electorate Will Define the Next Election link.medium.com/zX1rAnOSwZ
Some hot takes here
[THREAD] 1/
The largest + fastest growing group in the US today is the LatinX voter: the median age of the community is 28 yrs old, with the fastest growing part of the pop under 5. There are 32 million eligible Latinx voters in 2020, making us the lgst minority group in this election 2/
Outdated tactics used to mobilize their parents won’t cut it. Yet, outdated thinking and inadequate infrastructure leaves too many potential voters disconnected from the political process — leading to lower rates of participation and less power. 3/