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6 Nov, 4 tweets, 2 min read
It’s done.
After Trump crooked.com/articles/after…
crooked.com/articles/after… Image

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More from @brianbeutler

Brian Beutler Profile picture
6 Nov
It gets at the core conceit of Trumpism: that mass deception—the warping of public perception—is the predicate for everything. Because once a large enough minority is bought in to a lie, you can get away with almost anything. Including, they hoped, stealing an election.
In the empirical world: right, who cares. The votes are what they are. In the world Trump thought he inhabited, where Fox would back up his lies one last time, he might actually have gotten away with it. That’s why he’s mad.
Another example here: In an empirical sense, who cares who calls it first? Losing is losing and eventually all the networks, even Fox will be unanimous about it. But you can’t steal the election through the window of doubt without partners in mass deception.
Read 4 tweets
Brian Beutler Profile picture
4 Nov
This is a lie and they know it. The only reasons I can think of to do it are to a) intentionally cause social strife for no good reason other than make Trump feel less sad, or b) create a pretext for the PA-leg to attempt a version of the scenario @bartongellman wrote about.
@bartongellman When the results prove Eric et al wrong, they ask the PA-leg to ignore the results based on fabricated allegations of fraud, name a slate of Trump electors, and then, when the gov vetoes it, beg ACB to install Trump over the will of PA and national voters.
Is this their plan? I have no idea. But are they above trying to steal the election? Absolutely not. So we need to lay a marker down now: What their actions point to is consistent with an effort to steal the election and destroy the country.
Read 11 tweets
Brian Beutler Profile picture
4 Nov
Remember how data science convinced many key decision makers that campaigning against “the world-historical corruption of our opponent” would be an unsound political strategy?
Here’s my global pre-bedtime take: I still think Biden is favored to win. But this is a really shitty outcome against the most corrupt president in U.S. history, who presided over hundreds of thousands of unnecessary American deaths.
I’m less mad about any polling error than I am about a) the baleful effect pseudoscientific models have on voter behavior and b) two years of Dem decision-making on the basis of data pseudoscience that, among other things, convinced them “running against corruption” is bad.
Read 4 tweets
Brian Beutler Profile picture
23 Oct
Trump is still gaming out ways that GOP judges might steal the election for him, and he and they seem to be circling around this strategy. crooked.com/articles/trump…
In their just-filed brief, PA-Dems endorse segregating late-arriving ballots, which would moot any GOP hope (detailed in the above piece) of claiming the whole Pennsylvania election is tainted. Note, a solution like this is unavailable in Florida. Image
Closing the loop on this, it prevents a potential catastrophe in PA. Now we await on the other potential catastrophes.
Read 7 tweets
Brian Beutler Profile picture
20 Oct
The “prioritize popular things” school doesn’t account for issues like court expansion and impeachment where public opinion follows elites. If Dems unify, it’ll become a 50-50 issue. If they let polls determine their position it’ll remain underwater and democracy will collapse.
This phenomenon is a bigger general problem in the context of McConnell’s strategy of reflexively denying the opposition votes for bills. His insight: unify the opposition and the governing party, obsessed with finding bipartisan cover, will splinter.
If Dems approach governing that way again, they won’t just leave themselves and the country at the mercy of illegitimate Republican courts. They’ll find that even the popular aspects of their agenda will lose popularity, and they’ll accomplish much less than they otherwise would.
Read 5 tweets
Brian Beutler Profile picture
13 Oct
All respect to Dan, but the bar for “right” here shouldn’t be set at “Trump attempts procedural coup and fails,” or “Dem landslide buries Trump’s election stealing ambitions.” Both of these standards are actually testaments to how far we’ve slipped.
The first normalizes shocking abuse on the grounds that it’s unlikely to work out the way Trump wants, the second creates the unacceptable expectation that the liberal party needs to win landslides to claim power uncontested. This is a broken discourse.
Trump could lose by 10, rendering him unable to steal the election in court, but then turn around and fan (more) street violence and sabotage the transition, and under the incompetence standard this would just stand as evidence that the hysterical libs worried too much. Really!?
Read 6 tweets

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