Thread by @dikgaj

1) I never liked analyzing political ldrs as usual discourse takes that fallacious shortcut to explain history. Most US presidents dont hv to offer much either - except the first few, Lincoln, Grant, the two Roosevelts. Trump is important to understand current US nationhood.

2) the US can be understood best as modern replica of the undercurrents of old Roman republic turned oligarchy where the original mafia system was invented. In short, its a tussle between "patriotic" mafia and "globalized" mafia. At the moment they are in unstable equilibrium.

3) Trumps difficulties were unavoidable - because of the very personal features that made him the ideal solution for "patriotic" mafia - his lack of embedding into the carefully trained political operatives groomed to continue the establishment networks of power and profit.

4) His disconnect from realpolitik (I dont think he was ever liked by the political establishment - he made his own support) even though he belonged to the same shark pool possibly stems from his comparative lack of personal depravity and kinks that permeate and binds the elite.

5) His disconnect from political class made him an ideal candidate for the "patriotic" mafia, who hoped he wd be less compromised than those in power to challenge the cozy quadrangular nexus between Han empire, west European elite, global mullahdom and US big-biz, esp finance.

6) Its that very "innocence" that wd attract a large portion of the "common" American - those not benefiting from affirmative actions of various kinds (more charities than to build capacity) and also what dooms him from lack of experience of how the establishment thinks& plans.

7) essentially Trump faced a perfect storm: he had given enough reasons to frighten all those he shdnt hv at one go. The strongest reason to fear him was his challenge to the global market allies of US "globalized" mafia in extraction and profiteering - China and West Europe.

8) Those big-biz/financier circuits that have funded the demo/mobilization against Trump, are not doing it out of any patriotic or lofty ideals - but they have decided its a low-cost investment to utilize minority grievances to unseat an obstacle and protect their super-profits.

9) Once the older political establishment retakes power, there will be a few "charity" and top-dressing but they will never go back to funding domestic manufacturing for several reasons: their interests lie overseas and they see much less risks in transnational financial play

10) domestic manufacturing will also empower the "patriotic" mafia, which the "globalized" mafia doesnt want. So for them, a bit of charity using revenue to keep the bulk just short of revolt while utilizing draconian control of society/labour in China or elsewhere is less risky.

11) this leaning towards more collaborative financial extraction from more ruthless societies and fearing the Untermenschen of one's own is possibly very similar to what might have marked the gradual retreat of western India between 8th-13th c.

12) Trump's removal and Harriden coming to power however cd very well be a very short term triumph. At the moment, I dont see the judiciary will support Trump. Portions of the establishment in both "right" and "left" hv come together against Trump for all the above reasons.

13) But all the forces who feared Trump have exposed themselves - primarily in their relentless agitprop on underestimating the support for Trump. Trump showed he had the support of about half the voting population regardless of whether there was electoral fraud.

14) The US establishment, big-biz nexus are not really interested in strengthening their commons too much - to be fair, like elite everywhere - but they used fringe grievances and will quickly throw them to the wind once in power. Issue will be resurgence of Hans& mullahs in US.

15) I dont see US "patriotic mafia" down and out. They will have to rethink and groom appropriate figureheads through politics - and train support base to take the consequences in stride. The medium term failures of Harriden admin will be there to see in spite of MSM blitz cover.