For people wondering why House Democratic leaders would be launching an attack on the Squad out of the gate, consider the math and the new power balance:

Dems will have a much smaller majority in 2021, maybe 8 or 9 seats. Think about what that means:/1 theintercept.com/2020/11/06/ele…
Pelosi always loses one or two @JoshGottheimer types on every vote. That means that about seven (!) Dems have veto power over the caucus. And the Squad has been buttressed by @JamaalBowmanNY, @CoriBush, @MondaireJones & @Marie4Congress

That’s 8 right there
And that’s before you get to Progressive Caucus leaders like @RepJayapal, @MarkPocan or @RoKhanna

Dem leaders know progressives have real power in the caucus now, and are trying to shame them into not using it, is my read.
Meanwhile there’s nothing more important ultimately to either of the factions than winning the Senate. Will be worth watching to see if they can put aside their differences and do that, or if jockeying for House power is more important to them

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More from @ryangrim

6 Nov
Dems gave @AOC 60 seconds at the convention and iirc the rest of the Squad nothing. Defund the police was a slogan that came from the protests. The Squad could vanish from the earth tomorrow and none of the centrist complaints about messaging would be assuaged.
Spanberger would have gotten the same attack ad. And she’s going to get it again in 2022. If she has something to actually run on to counter it, maybe she’ll be ok. Worth a shot, no?
That’s different than saying that any particular slogan is effective or not. The purpose of a slogan is to win mass support for your cause. If it’s working, it’s good, if it’s not, it’s not, and people need to be hard headed about that.
Read 5 tweets
29 Oct
.@ggreenwald is a good friend and that'll never change, but The Intercept remains committed to doing powerful, adversarial journalism.

Support our work by becoming a member: join.theintercept.com/donate/now/
Glenn and I actually started out writing this Hunter article together, but he wanted to get deep into Burisma and media criticism and I wanted to focus on the China element, so we decided to write separate pieces. His piece was still in the edit process when all this blew up.
I was hopeful he’d be able to work out his differences on the piece with his editor and I’m still convinced that could have happened. This, as he says, has been brewing for a long time and was about more than just one story.
Read 6 tweets
1 Oct
lol Cruz must figure he’s politically better off in the Senate minority when it comes to launching another presidential bid, happy to kneecap his vulnerable colleague to make that happen
Trust the process
To walk folks through the logic of how this politically benefits Cruz and other ambitious senators on the right, like this guy below, consider two worlds. One has Rs in the majority but Biden in the White House. That could produce a tough vote on some compromise bill every week
Read 9 tweets
27 Sep
Obama taking a full month to nominate Garland was such an Obama move all around
My argument at the time was he should appoint himself and give them a chance to vote him out of the White House and on to the court.
No law against it. I wasn’t really being serious, though the idea had some merit. If they refused to hold hearings it might piss off enough partisan Obama supporters that they’d have bothered to vote
Read 4 tweets
24 Sep
Lots of polling shows that Democrats are less likely to vote if they believe Trump is just going to steal the election. Trump's people have no doubt seen that polling too, which might be motivating Trump to be so honest about stealing the election. Win-win, so to speak.
The more he can get the media and Democratic leaders to talk about his willingness to steal the election, the less likely it becomes that he has to steal it to win. Awfully clever, if intentional.
And this point is not remotely controversial among Democratic strategists who analyze polling and have found that people are more likely to vote if they think their vote will matter and count. Here's one piece of a memo where they talk about how to better frame it (3rd row down) Image
Read 5 tweets
22 Sep
The Park Avenue defender has logged on to...preach against elite mingling at social gatherings?
I’m still chuckling at the idea that Soledad would have deigned to cover a D or R policy retreat. If she had, she’d know these are not exclusive things, they happen out in the open at the hotel bar

Did Boehner try to charm reporters? Of course, same as any political figure.
Read 5 tweets

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