1. @CNN is all messed up: Reported on remaining ballots in #PA. 89k outstanding mail-in (that tracks the dashboard) plus 101k provisionals. Majority from Blue counties. Says Philly has 38k mail-in ballots (but the dashboard says 20k) and she said including 15-20k provisionals.
2. I'm inclined to think 38k is the provisionals.

Then she reported Allegheny county approx. 37k ballots including provisionals. But the dashboard has 31k mail and so I'm guessing 7k is the provisionals.

Bucks county 2k damaged and 6.7k provisionals. That sort of matches the
3. dashboard that says 2.7k

One red county, Luzerne 4.3k. Dashboard says 1.6k. So perhaps 2.7k is the provisional count.

Montgomery 10k, but the dashboard says 3.6k. So is that 6.4k provisional? Who knows?

Chester 2.3k. But dashboard says 367. So is that 2k provisional?
4. No wonder they don't want to call it. They're clueless.

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More from @TimInHonolulu

8 Nov
1. I have been pondering the comments by folks like @SpanbergerVA07 and now @MittRomney doing a post-mortem on the Congressional election and the Democrats poor performance. First, for about two weeks before the election I saw softening in the Generic Ballot performance.
2. So, I was not surprised. As Rep Spanberger articulated the insanity of the "Defund the Police" movement that popped up during the post George Floyd assassination (yes he assassinated) was the perfect theme for the GOP to ride on through the election so I decided to look at it.
3. George Floyd was assassinated on May 25. We know of the civil strife that followed. So, I wanted to see when the first instance of "Defund the Police" appeared on @Twitter. I think this is it on May 31. Six days after the killing. And it was soon amplified by you know who. Image
Read 5 tweets
6 Nov
1. What's going on in the Kremlin? Putin's press agency pushed back on the reports that he's ill and retiring. The way it's being amplified makes me suspect that Russian sources are behind it. So who's doing it? A couple of years ago Putin vanished for about three weeks.
2. Rumors swirled and then he re-appeared and joked about palace intrigue. At the time, my analysis was that he was subject to a soft coup where the military essentially took control and left him as a figure head. A lot of his troubles came from the Trump Project. Now Trump is
3. leaving and export controls will likely destroy the Russian military. They won't let that happen without trying to avoid it. So I think they are offering Putin and his Oligarchs as a peace offering. Russia could have a decent economy without the corruption tax that the mob
Read 8 tweets
5 Nov
1. I grew up in an area where teens had guns. I had a shotgun at 16. Took a class after school to get my hunting license. My @GOP classmate pal was from an @NRA family. Responsible gun owners. Upland game hunters. German Shorthairs. Great dogs. I wanted to join him so I signed up
2. I first shot at @boyscouts camp at 11. My dad hated guns. But he died when I was 9 and my mom's dad was a police detective sergeant with a gun so she was less against them than my dad so I got one. Lately I have been supporting our forces and allies in the war against terror.
3. I wanted to learn about the weapons so I've been watching a lot of YouTube stuff on guns. I can tell you one thing for sure. Those folks love their guns more than they love @RealDonaldTrump and they won't risk a lifetime gun ban for him. Some crazies may do stuff but
Read 4 tweets
5 Nov
PA: Here are the ones I reported earlier and how they compare to that report.

Phillly-91k
Bucks-46k
Chester-2k
Cumberland-31k
Lehigh-39k ?? must have been a mistake
Lancaster-1k
And now instead of approx 550k remaining the dashboard says 369k.
Dashboard says 250,666 left.

Some changes:

Phillly-91k now 79.78
Bucks-46k now 22,355
Chester-2k
Cumberland-31k now 1,223
Lehigh-39k ?? now 24,969
Lancaster-1k
Read 4 tweets
3 Nov
The backup Air Force one is flying racetracks over Toronto. Think they're trying to make run for it?
Okay. The green one is AF-1. Blue one to the far right is the back-up and there's a Gulf Stream 5 in the middle. The other one is a C-17 to the right of AF-1 is likely has his posse. They're talking in the clear.
Pence is taking off now on AirForce two. They probably made him clean up.
Read 4 tweets
2 Nov
1. Based on a limited amount of relevant knowledge, the fact that the vehicular assault threat gang in Texas are under @FBI investigation tells me the @SecretService is not going to pay a "knock it off" visit. And now that @POTUS has said they're "patriots" is not a good look.
2. So what do you do if you're n one of those @NRA @YouTube gun enthusiast channels who have been, by not so subtle innuendo, expressing you're one of Trump's "patriots" when one of your co-conspirators commits a federal capital crime? You get a needle nitwit. What can you do?
3. There's only one thing you can do: A noisy withdrawal. Something like going on your channel and denouncing the Texas vehicular assault crew saying that patriots don't threaten presidential candidates, terrorists do. But they won't so they will all lose their NFA licenses
Read 4 tweets

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