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Fabio Votta📊🦉 Profile picture
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9 Nov, 3 tweets, 3 min read
It's interesting to see how close the vote margins in 2020 track the ones in 2016. Almost a perfect correlation. But the differences matter.

#USElections #us2020election Image
Comparing the 2020 margins to the 2012 elections, there is much more variation.

#USElections #us2020election Image
Not surprisingly the majority of counties won by Trump have a smaller number of total votes (~correlated with population size) whereas counties with the most votes went to Biden.

#USElections #us2020election Image

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Fabio Votta📊🦉 Profile picture
8 Nov
By delegitimizing mail-in ballots Trump is shooting himself in the foot. According to the latest @nytimes data, +54m voted absentee in this election. 24m (44%) of those votes were cast for Trump. Are only mail-in votes cast for his opponent fraudulent? /1 ImageImage
If you delegitimize legitimate votes and undermine democracy everyone loses. On avg. absentee votes across the country even leaned towards Trump. It was only in population centers where absentee ballots leaned towards Biden (which ultimately caused the blue shift and his win). /2 Image
If he was so concerned about mail-in ballots why did he not try to ensure that everyone can vote safely instead of ranting non-stop about it? The answer is as simple as it is terrifying. His problem isn't mail-in votes. It's everyone who dares to voice opposition to him. /3
Read 5 tweets
Fabio Votta📊🦉 Profile picture
14 Sep 19
On June 26, 2019, r/the_donald was quarantined by Reddit admins over threats users made against law enforcement. Quarantining a subreddit means it requires an explicit opt-in and a verified e-mail address. In addition, the subreddit will not be able to use custom images or css.
What effects did the quarantine have on user activity? There is a spike in comments right after the quarantine but activity decreases slowly. 2 months before the quarantine users left 28k comments on average every day but in the following 2 months this number decreased to 20k.
The subreddit has also seen the lowest activity rates since at least October 2017. Some days the number of comments dipped below 10k. However, on other days subreddit activity almost reaches pre-quarantine levels again.
Read 4 tweets
Fabio Votta📊🦉 Profile picture
20 Feb 19
1/ Is American democracy under threat?
@BrightLineWatch regularly asks political scientists and the public questions about democratic performance. Here I visualize some results. Check out my short blog post where I document my #rstats code. '

favstats.eu/post/blw_data/
@BrightLineWatch 2/ The data ranges from February 2017 to October 2018. For the purpose of this visualization, I took 27 statements of democratic performance in the survey and show the percentage of experts that do not think the U.S. meets the mentioned standard (out of five possible answers)
@BrightLineWatch 3/ Let's first take a look at expert opinions. There is widespread agreement on the topic of gerrymandering. Most surveyed political scientists would say that U.S. democracy fails at meeting the standard of fair electoral districts (~63 - 71%).
Read 10 tweets

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