Good News *but*:
- Pfizer's claims aren't yet scientific evidence
- "Effective" doesn't mean "safe"
- "Placebo" vaccine may be alerting immune system & "flattering" vaccine
- Trial only half complete
- 43,000 not enough to cover all groups for safety theguardian.com/world/2020/nov…
(Note on "Too few": To declare a vaccine "safe & effective", it must work on every racial type (~10), at every age group (8), for both sexes (2) & despite major underlying conditions (20) - & when you combine them, with "significant" numbers in each, you need 10x more volunteers)
(1/2 Why does it matter? Well, what if the vaccine is approved & after a year in use we find that it protected the general working population (age 0-60) *except for doctors, nurses, vets & teachers of BAME ethnicity* (all of whom are exposed to high viral loads)...?)
(2/2 Or, to give a different example, what if the vaccine failed to protect people with immune-compromising conditons at all - such as diabetes, with type 2 often associated with obesity, 10% of the world population & 25-30% in UK/USA? Or those on statins/blood pressure meds?)
Point to consider:
Any vaccine introduces material into the body to stimulate immune system. Normally they're 10yrs in testing & problems show up.
Pushing COVID vaccines through in a year may work - but it may miss over-stimulated immune systems causing more autoimmune diseases

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More from @BpsmithUk

10 Nov
I'd like to explain the "Pfizer vaccine is 90% effective!" statement so you see why Im not excited.

So far 38,955 of the 43,000 volunteers have received 2 doses of either the candidate COVID vaccine or the placebo (meningitis vaccine).

1/2
2/2
Of those, 94 caught CoVID *& show symptoms*. The trial is "complete" when 164 get infected.

9 of the 94 received CoVID vaccine.

If (say) 30 of the next 70 had the vaccine, it'll be 75% effective.
We dont know if anyone caught COVID but is asymptomatic (& infectious) yet...
Read 4 tweets
3 Aug
I went out over the last few days & used public transport (1st time since March), & saw large shops outside my normal small neighborhood.
I must report its *not looking good...*
There's no doubt in my mind cases will rocket.
People *need* an infomercial on masks!

What I saw:
1/4
2/4
- No distancing in bus queues
- No masks, gloves, sanitiser
- Masks (disposable, used, grubby) retieved grudgingly from pockets as bus arrived & hung round ears.
- Masks mostly down round chins as bus pulled out
- *Everyone* touched *every pole & seat* as they went in & out
3/4
- Everyone clustered around lights waiting to cross to shops. No Masks.
- Same grubby, well-used, disposable masks hooked loosely on ears to enter food stores
- Sanitiser ignored
- People using contaminated hands to touch *every* tin, packet & item, then put it back...
Read 4 tweets
8 Sep 19
Medicines in the UK come from a range of bulk suppliers - there are only 3 or 4 main ones.
As we know from anecdotal evidence, many medicines are already in short supply & this *will* worsen after #NoDealBrexit.
Here is the latest list of those medicines *currently* affected.
This is a really important point... some of those medicines *are* addictive, & withdrawal effects from sudden removal (or incorrect substitution) can be dangerous & unpredictable...
Read 4 tweets

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