Well said. Novel crises end up with suboptimal responses because while custom is usually better than government, "Unfamiliar problem with large spillover effects" is one of the few areas where government will, on average, be more flexible than the average citizen's intuitions.
Like I'm super sympathetic to the folks arguing we shouldn't give government new powers just because there is a temporary crisis only 99.9999% of those folks also get really mad when you suggest using peer pressure to induce desirable reductions in spread.
In fact, what a large number of them seem to want--I'm tempted to say a majority--is that we use peer pressure to coerce everyone into ignoring the virus unless they're, like, 80. I mean, these people seem genuinely mad that I am not fulfilling my moral obligation to dine out.
Moreover the statistics they quote me on mortality are off by at least a factor of 10, and many allegedly libertarian arguments are in fact just an intuitive sense that anything they do is *a thing that decent people do* and therefore the government has no right to interfere.
And this is why I've thrown my lot in with public health experts rather than internet libertarians, even though in general, I do not trust their profession any farther than I can spit a rat. The things they say hold together; the ad hoc rationalizations on the other side don't.
Republicans could have modeled how individual initiative and robust communities do a better job than officialdom. They chose virus denialism instead.

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More from @asymmetricinfo

11 Nov
Okay, all of you folks yelling IF YOU THINK ISOLATED CASES OF FRAUD OCCUR, WHY ARE YOU SO SANGUINE? HOW ARE YOU COMFORTABLE WITH FRAUD?

I need to tell you guys a story. About ballpoint pens.
Readers of my columns have heard this one before. Sorry. Bear with me.
So when I was just a young slip of a girl, making my way in the Big City by doing temp work, I got a multi-week gig at a moderately sized office that was, I infer, having some financial problems.
Read 26 tweets
11 Nov
Conservatives often complain that the left believes that biological realities will go away if you just win enough Twitter arguments.

But how would you describe someone who responds to the observation that US hospitals in some areas are already at capacity with "But Sweden"?
Like, even if you won this argument, or at least made your interlocutor too tired to continue it, the virus is not going to scream "Aiieeeeee, Sweden, I am slain!" and stop ripping through hospitals.
We need to spend more time addressing the physical reality of a virus that cannot read and therefore does not know or care about anything except infecting us. And way less time litigating past policy grievances, or demanding a hall pass from biology for our very special cause.
Read 4 tweets
5 Nov
1) Cities tend to be monolithically left, and monolithic groups become more extreme, so that urban discourse is significantly to the left of the American center, or indeed, the modal Democrat.
2) "Mainstream" media and academia are even more extremely left-skewed, which removes a natural check on the tendency to talk left. (This problem is becoming more apparent on the right as they disengage from mainstream media)
3) Primaries make it costlier to "talk right", especially as symbolic cultural politics dominate more and more of this intra-institutional jockeying for power.
Read 8 tweets
5 Oct
Trump has one great superpower: utter shamelessness. With it, he has won some battles others would have lost, notably Kavanaugh. And it enables him to be the world's greatest slogan A/B tester, because if something he said yesterday bombs, he drops it and tries something else.
But this superpower is extremely limited, and a boundless willingness to say literally anything, combined with no attachment to principles of any kind, is a bad political strategy for the long run.
People without principles aren't trusted, which means they can't build coalitions, which is why the big "wins" his supporters like to cite are a handful of modest executive orders, and a tax bill and supreme court nomination that were exactly what the GOP establishment wanted.
Read 6 tweets
30 Sep
My husband likes to pick the meat out of my braises and leave the liquid. I have turned this into a kitchen hack, which works like this:
Every time I make a familiar dish--oxtails Ancient Rome style (ish), pot roast, beef stew, osso buco, chili verde, etc--I save excess liquid in the freezer. Then I use the leftover liquid as a starter for the next one, supplementing with wine, tomatoes, mirepoix, stock, whatever.
The result is in "infinity braise" where each braise has just a little bit of all the previous ones in it. Sacrifices some consistency, but I usually freestyle the stuff I make really often with whatever's on hand, anyway. On the plus side the flavor is much richer & more complex
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31 Aug
My MBA class, the Class of 2001, had the worst job market experience of any class in living memory. (Yes, worse than the financial crisis). The Class of 2021 will probably outdo us. wsj.com/articles/m-b-a…
Before you ask, how could 2001 have done worse than the classes of 2008 or 2009?

Because companies that had fired whole associate classes found themselves, 5-8 years later, without the middle management layers they needed. In 2008, they resolved not to let that happen again.
2001 was hammered because we were right in the eye of Hurricane Stock Market Crash--the Class of 2000 got a year of relatively normal job experience and seniority when the layoffs started; 2002 got some warning. 2001 got hosed.
Read 5 tweets

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