Thread by @WilsonKM2

Today in the #AtlanticBubble

There were 14 new cases reported in the Bubble today: 6 each in New Brunswick and Nova Scotia and 2 in Newfoundland and Labrador.

PEI hasn't reported yet, as they seem to do so sporadically.

Of the 6 cases in NB, 4 are in the Moncton area (2 are travel-related and 2 are under investigation). The Fredericton and Saint John regions are each reporting one new travel case.

For Nova Scotia, all of the new cases are in Halifax. Although this number of cases is somewhat concerning, a good sign is that there are all known contacts of existing cases.

One is linked to the recent exposure alert at the Bitter End downtown, and that cluster is now tied to the cluster in Clayton park.

Another way of putting it is that these were probably people we were expecting to become cases (or who were at high risk of becoming so).

NS Health has announced a number of additional potential exposure events related to these new cases. I've retweeted them a moment ago. Please check them out and dial 811 if needed.

NFLD's 2 new cases are both travel-related and are isolating.

With that, there are now 52 known, active cases in side the Bubble (CTV is showing 50, so I may have missed a couple of recoveries somewhere).

I've added a prototype for a new graph (last one on the first tweet and I'd appreciate some feedback).

We've been getting a lot of exposure alerts recently and I wanted a way to communicate/visualize the change in risk to the general community.

I've recorded all of the exposure alerts (so far only for NS) and plotted out the hours per day, and left them in the system for the usual 14-day window. Basically, the more/longer exposure we have in the community (not via travel), the higher the line goes.

It will go back down to zero known exposure risk after two weeks. Is that helpful at all?

Relatedly, since we are seeing cases spring up in some parts of NS and NB, I would once again encourage you to reduce your exposure risk for the next little while. I know it's not fun,

...but as you can see from the timelines, the choices we make can have pretty serious consequences for other people (small clusters can result in someone dying).

So maybe tone down your indoor dining and in-person gym sessions for the next couple weeks, if you can.

With the holidays coming up, it would be a shame if things fell apart here and started to look like the rest of the country or the US (e.g., businesses and schools closed).

If we all do our part, we can prevent that from happening here.

Have a great rest of the weekend!

And let me know about the new chart! :-)