.@ER_Mayeda cautions, Methods of correcting for selection bias, eg, IPW, only as good as understanding of selection processes that gave rise to data. Reminds me of polling in 2016 & 2020 US elections. When system is dynamic, can’t rely on past trends; need other ways of knowing
Also @haileybanack goes Full Canadian 😊, turning a toy basketball example into a discussion of Toronto Raptor victories in the NBA. It was very subtle. 😏
This is for you, Hailey: refinery29.com/en-us/canadian… 4/
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Someone close to me is in this vaccine trial. I am so moved by every single volunteer for these trials. They took a risk to give the world a tremendous gift. I’m literally crying. The world owes them so much...
And it looks like all the severe cases were in placebo group, so vaccine may not just reduce risk of getting sick overall but also prevent severe illness. 🙏🏾
Also some promising news about placebo arm folks: “Dr. Zaks said Moderna’s study results were so strong that the company felt an ethical obligation to offer the vaccine to the placebo group as soon as possible.” From @nytimes. Stay tuned
Reading this article (in which I'm quoted near the end), I realized why I have such a strong visceral reaction to some of the negative coverage of @ProfEmilyOster's work on #COVID19 and schools...prospect.org/coronavirus/wh… 1/
..The treatment of @ProfEmilyOster reminds of 2016 press coverage of @HillaryClinton! An outsized focus on that woman's flaws had big long-term consequences.(I'm not a media studies or communications person, so I may be totally off, but I swear there's a PhD thesis in here! 2/
On to my promised tweets on #epitwitter data about #SARSCoV2/#COVID19 among children and particularly in school settings. It's less comprehensive than I hoped, but I'm trying not to let the perfect be the enemy of the good... 3/
Again, many great quotes but this one deeply resonated with my personal experience: “Yet when Black women ‘do say no to additional projects, we are seen as anti-team player, unwilling to be collegial,’ Lima-Neves said...”2/
The most galling thing said to me in 2020 was from a senior leader in response to my asking him why his leadership team was all-White over many years despite the presence of talented non-White faculty (like myself)...
So THEN someone in our “You’re on yr own” US executive says, “Actually I do have some thoughts!”
and bullies the actual *CDC* (the home of elite force of disease detectives who live to identify and squash outbreaks) into saying...2/
“Hey school districts, in case you were thinking about doing the extraordinary & forward-thinking work of standing up a whole #SARSCoV2 surveillance system in your K-12 schools bc yr federal govt has abandoned you...3/
@HeidiKKim The excess deaths among the Asian subgroup in April and May are striking.
Part of the spin I’m seeing online is the 1/3 of deaths not #COVID19. But the timing and patterning of these so close to the COVID19 deaths that I suspect many actually are miscoded deaths that really were COVID. What do y’all think?
In a call w @Theresa_Chapple y’day, I was reminded of all the community members, researchers, & on-the-ground govt folks pulling together to offer constructive data, guidelines, etc. to help us all make it through #COVID19. 1/
@Theresa_Chapple In that spirit of gratitude, I’m highlighting this 🧵.
Harvard folks in public health, education, etc, have made many resources, frameworks & guidelines to help communities make good decisions about when and how K-12 schools could have in-person classes.
But they shouldn’t have had to spearhead this kind of effort. The US federal government has capable experts who could have led these efforts 6 months ago. But our govt did not prioritize letting them do this work. So here we are. Piecing it together the best we can. 3/