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16 Nov, 5 tweets, 2 min read
DC numbers today show unusually low testing, spiking the pos percentage unusually high. Hospital census declining. Weekly pos % over 3% for the first time since June.
DC reports zero deaths with COVID. Still 14 in November.

Positives / Tests %
1-Day: 87 / 1,732 5.02%
7-Day: 977 / 31,538 3.10%
14-Day: 1626 / 62,178 2.62%
28-Day: 2669 / 121,312 2.20%
Total COVID-19 Patients in DC Hospitals: 101
Charts and data: docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d…
Next few days we'll see whether the Biden bump receded or reproduced.

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More from @kerpen

Phil Kerpen Profile picture
17 Nov
DC reports zero deaths with COVID. Still 14 in November.

Positives / Tests %
1-Day: 245 / 6,390 3.83%
7-Day: 1136 / 34,909 3.25%
14-Day: 1785 / 63,323 2.82%
28-Day: 2864 / 122,935 2.33%
Looks like some forward transmission from the Biden boom.
Total COVID-19 Patients in DC Hospitals: 112 Image
Read 4 tweets
Phil Kerpen Profile picture
5 Nov
DC reports 3 deaths with COVID. Now 4 in November.

Positives / Tests %
1-Day: 81 / 3,411 2.37%
7-Day: 608 / 30,638 1.98%
14-Day: 1145 / 61,067 1.87%
28-Day: 1917 / 123,686 1.55%
Charts and data:
docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d…
Note some of the modest increase in % positive may come from the way DC is using antigen tests.

Contrary to Dr. Birx's recommendation to PCR confirm positive antigen tests, DC is doing the opposite and counting antigen positives as cases while PCR confirming the negatives.
Read 4 tweets
Phil Kerpen Profile picture
3 Nov
Study of 12 million adults in England.

"living with children 0-11 years was not associated with increased risks of recorded SARS-CoV-2 infection, COVID-19 related hospital or ICU admission but WAS associated with REDUCED risk of COVID-19 death"

medrxiv.org/content/10.110…
"We found no evidence for a reduction in risk following school closure."
Living with children LOWERED risk of COVID death for adults both under age 65 and over 65. ImageImage
Read 4 tweets
Phil Kerpen Profile picture
19 Oct
DC reports zero deaths with COVID. Still 13 in October.

Positives / Tests %
1-Day: 25 / 2,235 1.12%
7-Day: 373 / 30,221 1.23%
14-Day: 848 / 67,472 1.26%
28-Day: 1417 / 111,296 1.27%
Finally under Bowser's 35/day standard!

But on moderating volume.

Data and charts:
docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d…
Cumulative DC Totals from July 1 to October 18

Deaths with COVID: 87

Positives: 6,005
Tests: 367,977
1.63%

Three and a half months under 2%. Still Phase 2.
Read 4 tweets
Phil Kerpen Profile picture
16 Oct
Week 41 flu numbers

Clinical labs
26 positives of 9,727 tests (0.27%)

Public health labs
0 positives of 4,249 tests (0.00%)

Combined
26 postitives of 13,976 (0.19%)

cdc.gov/flu/weekly/ind…
Flu Cumulative Weeks 40 to 41

Clinical labs
60 positives of 19,768 tests (0.30%)

Public health labs
1 positive of 11,200 tests (0.01%)

Combined
61 positives of 30,968 (0.20%)
2019 Comp Flu Weeks 40 to 41

Clinical labs
2020: 60 positives of 19,768 tests (0.30%)
2019: 1,075 / 34,990 (3.07%)

Public health labs
2020: 1 positive of 11,200 tests (0.01%)
2019: 176 / 1,029 (17.1%)

Combined
2020: 61 positives of 30,968 (0.20%)
2019: 1,251 / 36,019 (3.46%)
Read 9 tweets
Phil Kerpen Profile picture
13 Oct
"Close the doors; close the windows." The man is ineducable.
Governor Andrew Cuomo: "This is not a highly nuanced, sophisticated response. This is a fear-driven response. You know, this is not a policy being written by a scalpel. This is a policy being cut by a hatchet. It's just a very blunt.
"I didn't propose this, you know. It was proposed by the mayor in the city. I'm trying to sharpen it and make it better, but it's out of fear. People see the numbers going up. Close everything! Close everything! It's not the best way to do it but it is a fear-driven response.
Read 4 tweets

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