Here we go
Naturally I’ve taken a sneak peak at mentions for British politicians. Here’s Obama’s first mention of @David_Cameron. Says he had a “studied informality” but that he liked him and was a good ally, though is quietly quite savage about his economic policy and austerity.
It’s The Queen for whom Obama reserves deepest praise, she: “embodied the special relationship between the US and the UK and Michele and I always loved spending time with her.”
Whatever you think of Obama’s line on Cameron’s economic policy it does undermine further the peculiar argument that Obama/Biden would be Conservatives in the UK. Misunderstands the two men and the Democrats, culturally and politically. They’d likely be Labour centrists/right.
There are plenty of Conservative politicians in the UK who would be never Trumpers and support a Biden led Democratic Party but that’s a different question.
Should note btw that Obama is actually wrong on the recession point. The UK’s “double dip” recession of 2011-12 was erased by the ONS who later revised their GDP estimates for 2012. In the end UK narrowly avoided a “double dip”, though this isn’t initially what the ONS said.

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More from @lewis_goodall

18 Nov
BREAK: @Keir_Starmer has decided not to restore the whip to Jeremy Corbyn, despite his Labour Party membership being restored.
Starmer: “Since I was elected Labour leader, I have made it my mission to root out antisemitism from the Labour Party. I know that I will judged on my actions, not my words. The disciplinary process does not have the confidence of the Jewish community. That became clear once...”
“... again yesterday. It is the task of my leadership to fix what I have inherited. That is what I am resolute in doing and I have asked for an independent process to be established as soon as possible...”
Read 10 tweets
17 Nov
So danger is for Starmer that everyone ends up being annoyed.
Left was angry it happened probably still angry it happened. Anti-Corbyn forces delighted it happened now angry it has unhappened.
What could have been seen as strength comes to be seen as indecision and what might have been seen for Labour as a decisive break on anti-Semitism comes to be muddied. He and leadership will say this isn’t a matter for them but that distinction won’t be perceived.
Read 4 tweets
17 Nov
Letter being read out on behalf of academics at Manchester University to the students who have occupied the accom tower : “The staff at the Uni of Manchester stand in solidarity with you...the example of racial profiling we saw over the weekend show how much more we have to do.” Image
“tell us what more we can do to support you. we are very proud of you.”
Students in the tower: “We were lied to when we came here. We were brought here for the money. We’re going to stay here until they come and talk to us.” Image
Read 5 tweets
17 Nov
The interesting thing about the PM devolution comments is that it appears to be part of a pattern-we’ve seen similar hints in recent months (via sympathetic press articles and the like) that some in Downing St blame the devolution settlement for the Union’s malaise.
Though there is truth that in some ways, the incomplete devolution settlement creates the conditions for separatism and embeds tension between different parts of the UK, from a unionist point of view, attacking the principle of that settlement at source will be counter productive
Either the settlement has to be stabilised and reformed, with new constitutional thinking and structures, or you have to look closer to home. The freshest political instability around the Union has (predictably) arisen post Brexit referendum. Blair can hardly be blamed for that.
Read 5 tweets
13 Nov
UPDATE: Georgia has now been called for Biden. First Democrat to have carried the state since 1992

The map is complete. Final tally 306-232. Exact mirror image of 2016.
Last Democrat to carry both Arizona and Georgia was Harry Truman in 1948.
Reminder, this is how one of the President’s top advisers described the President’s 2016 306-232 win.
Read 4 tweets
13 Nov
Arizona has now been called for Joe Biden- he’s the first Democrat to win it since 1996. Georgia is outstanding, pending the hand recount. V difficult to see Biden’s margin of 14000+. Trump likely to win NC.

So Biden will flip/is likely to flip 5 states and NE2. Heading for 306.
To be clear, flipping Arizona is a big, big deal. It’s been a GOP stronghold for a long, long time. The home of Barry Goldwater and of course, John McCain. It’s voted Democratic only twice since 1948.
Question(and worry) for Republicans is whether this is just a blip, spurred partially by Trump’s attitude to their favourite son McCain or whether it’s about longer term demographic change, making AZ more like other states in the region which have been trending Democratic.
Read 4 tweets

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