Deaths registered weekly in England and Wales, provisional - Office for National Statistics

Of the deaths registered in Week 45, 1,937 mentioned "novel coronavirus (COVID-19)", accounting for 16.4% of all deaths in England and Wales;
ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulati…
1,937 Deaths registered in Week 45, mentioned "novel coronavirus (COVID-19)", accounting for 16.4% of all deaths in England & Wales; this is an increase of 558 deaths compared with Week 44 (when there were 1,379 deaths involving COVID-19, accounting for 12.7% of all deaths)
And, no, it isn’t “just ‘flu.”

“Of the 1,937 deaths that involved COVID-19, 1,743 had this recorded as the underlying cause of death (90.0%); of the 2,267 deaths that involved Influenza and Pneumonia, 307 had this recorded as the underlying cause of death (13.5%)”
Week 45 is the week ending 6th November.

Since then there have been AT LEAST 2634 Covid deaths, simply looking at test positive deaths within 28 days of death.

This will be a marked undercount due to significant death reporting lags. Especially in the last several days.
This figures are based on reports by the date of death. Understandably it can take a week or more for those to filter through.

I would except several hundred more...quite likely 1k more.
A couple of Tweets from @AdamJKucharski on the denialism over Covid deaths and them being the driver for excess deaths
We have already seen how excess deaths receded markedly when Covid infections and deaths receded, and are rising together (despite a reduction in other infectious respiratory deaths).

In the USA they can compare lockdown States and non lockdown states.
It really is NOT ‘flu which is still barely registering.

But one WOULD expect pneumonia to appear more on COVID death certificates with COVID given COVID can induce bilateral pneumonia.

Hence multiple causes of death. Which is perfectly normal on death certificates.
Similarly COVID, with its oxygen deprivation can cause breathing stress and place great stress on the heart. Leading to cardiac arrest.

Expect both to appear on the death certificate and one precipitated the other.

Ditto COVID can cause severe blood clotting.
That, in turn can precipitate strokes.

Expect both to be on any death certificate.

Ditto ARDS

“BUT FOR” Covid would that death have occurred at that time?
@ActuaryByDay has provided his handy analysis.

This is the point where he too debunks the flu’ myth

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More from @fascinatorfun

19 Nov
Almost 15,000 students & teachers are currently absent — with numbers expected to rise, leaving Hull’s school system on the brink of collapse

Hull is the latest CV-19 hotspot with 770 cases per 100k — with schools identified as major transmission hubs.
independent.co.uk/news/uk/home-n…
The City has asked to be allowed to move to blended learning, but, thus far, this has fallen on deaf ears in Whitehall Image
“I’m petrified that they won’t consider this,” he said. “This is a dark, frightening storm and we need to act fast”
Read 5 tweets
19 Nov
Have journalists finally learnt how to challenge political lies? | Financial Times

“If journalists deny airtime to lies, they will incentivise politicians to tell the truth. That might just increase trust in both professions.”

So simple. So effective ft.com/content/43cd32…
I shall wait & see if the lesson sticks here and in the US, given who controls the press, the too powerful grip the Government has in the BBC AND the willingness of some journalists to publish lies, deliberately or lazily promoting them for clicks

WE should deny THEM OUR airtime Image
“In part,,letting falsehoods pass was lazy journalism, in a profession that traditionally privileges access over accuracy.

..Though most media opposed Trump, it’s also true that media made him...Trump’s inventions were allowed to drive the news agenda.” Image
Read 11 tweets
19 Nov
That’s 74.3% positivity rate. In Wyoming. Out of every 4 tests 3 are positive. That is appalling. The other states are bad enough, but even at our very worst in March/ April, when we were mainly testing respiratory admissions it was not that bad.
And Wyoming borders the Sturgis rally state. Within 3 weeks of the rally the bordering counties in Wyoming saw their cases by nearly 11%.

North and South Dakota are in a bad way too, but their Governors are in denial. Image
Look at these figures. They are shooting up. The US crossed the quarter of a million deaths today. 164k new cases in one day. Not far off 1900 deaths in one day. (Comparative to the U.K. that is still under our 7 day average but tracking upwards faster )

Horror show
Read 13 tweets
18 Nov
Good for @JolyonMaugham

I ALSO think it super important to find out what the testing regime is for all those containers of PPE stacking up in ports/ warehouses in UK/China

How many of those stored goods are fit for purpose? That goes to VfM in the @NAOorguk report next week.
2/.

1/. What is the CONTRACT value of all the goods as yet untested?

2/. Where are they?

3/. How much by category of goods?

4/. Who was the contractor (&/or ) subcontractor?
5/. What are the on costs of storage of these goods?

Can these be specified as I think it is not small.

6/. What is the wastage rate? (Damage/ inability to return/ sue due to unfitness)
Read 4 tweets
18 Nov
🦠🦠. 19,609 new cases but why are test processed down?

I would expect restrictions to reduce infection BUT if processing is down how can we be sure?

One would have hoped there would be an all out push to catch every case possible

⚰️⚰️⚰️ 529 deaths ImageImage
1/. Processed

2/ Cases by date reported show a decline over the last three days

3/ cases by specimen date. It has been taking 4 days for the bulk of cases to be processed after specimen date, but some take a week and even longer. What is happening this week? ImageImageImage
Looking at

🏥 ADMISSIONS. Last full date of data is for Sunday 14th. 1589 in a single day. Slightly fewer than the previous few days but a few more than the previous Sunday. Let’s watch this space for a few days.

Looks as if Mon likely to be c1640. In one day. ImageImage
Read 5 tweets
18 Nov
Great interview with the prescient @larrybrilliant

Talking about “the best of times” in Covid..the speed with which scientists have been able to move on vaccines, treatment trials and tests when backed well.

The worst of times : “The virus creates a disease that is godawful”
The beat of times. It truly is an extraordinary thing to produce likely effective vaccines at such speed, let alone the huge numbers in the pipeline...AND get them under production.

Human beings at their best working efficiently, carefully and hugely productively Image
“Best” dammit.
Read 4 tweets

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