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Fionna O'Leary, 🕯🇪🇺 Profile picture
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19 Nov, 13 tweets, 4 min read
That’s 74.3% positivity rate. In Wyoming. Out of every 4 tests 3 are positive. That is appalling. The other states are bad enough, but even at our very worst in March/ April, when we were mainly testing respiratory admissions it was not that bad.
And Wyoming borders the Sturgis rally state. Within 3 weeks of the rally the bordering counties in Wyoming saw their cases by nearly 11%.

North and South Dakota are in a bad way too, but their Governors are in denial.
Look at these figures. They are shooting up. The US crossed the quarter of a million deaths today. 164k new cases in one day. Not far off 1900 deaths in one day. (Comparative to the U.K. that is still under our 7 day average but tracking upwards faster )

Horror show
I cannot see how they can avoid another 50k deaths even if they brought the country to a halt right now. Too many cases every single day.

Can’t imagine what it is like working in the mid west hospitals right now.

What a grim legacy for Biden-Harris.
It isn’ JUST the mid west however. One of the problems is that cases have been rocketing from state to state so hospitals cannot even borrow medics from other states.
Mississippi, for instance, has issued a warning about saying “Hi to MauMau” on Thanksgiving only to be FaceTiming her in ICU 2 weeks later, then her funeral.

I hadn’t realised that the US Black Friday followed thanksgiving.

What a bloody nightmare

mississippifreepress.org/7014/after-big…
Thousands crammed into shopping malls having travelled from all over the States for Thanksgiving.

Hospital capacity to accept new patients is crumbling, said the States top Health official.
He cited a conversation last week with a physician who had decided to send a Mississippi patient to a hospital in Pensacola, Fla., after failing to get them in a bed anywhere in Mississippi.
“That doctor, Dobbs said, settled on Pensacola after also trying and failing to find beds for the patient in the Alabama cities of Birmingham and Mobile. He urged Mississippians to exercise caution, not just when it comes to avoiding the virus, but more generally.”
“Be careful, because there’s nowhere for you to go if you have a car wreck,” the state health officer said.
Nashville, Tennessee diverting patients out of state to as far away as Arkansas, Alamaba & West Virginia.

2k patients statewide (pop 6.8 million), a 25% increase in 2 weeks. That is equivalent to nearly 20k COVID in-patients in the U.K.

This cannot end well.
Another flag about the lag in the USA about death registrations.

The current case fatality rate in the USA is over 2%.

Over 1million cases in a week.
Oklahoma. ICU over 100% capacity but nowhere else to send patients as other hospitals full.

Are we going to be seeing c 20k deaths a week in three or so weeks?

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More from @fascinatorfun

Fionna O'Leary, 🕯🇪🇺 Profile picture
20 Nov
There’s a theme.

Boris Johnson appoints people who he knows has form for bullying and overbearing conduct. Indeed his own for for casual insults & incompetence is well documented.

We, the taxpayer, end up paying the compensation for the consequences of their conduct.
Does the Prime Minister resign? No.

Did Jenrick resign? No. Was he sacked? No

Did Cummings resign over the lockdown conduct? No. Was he sacked over that? No. Only for insulting Johnson’s girlfriend.
Did Williamson resign over the multiple Education screw ups? No. Was he sacked? No. They continue.

Did Patel resign over Windrush failures and numerous other failures? No. And not over this. Has she been sacked by Johnson? No.
Read 10 tweets
Fionna O'Leary, 🕯🇪🇺 Profile picture
20 Nov
A couple of real stand outs from this rather good @BBC article.

Have a good look at that diagram.

Look at the disjointed, multi-organisational design of it.
Whilst the Government claims “The companies and their leaders involved with testing had "hundreds of years" of experience in the field.” I can tell you that anyone who really had hands on experience of systematic screening would never design a service in this way. Image
Which if these companies have had “hundreds of years” of experience in running national public health screening programmes including integrated software systems, datasets, comms, sophisticated failsafe, multi-language comms as well as logistics?

None. None of them.
Read 22 tweets
Fionna O'Leary, 🕯🇪🇺 Profile picture
20 Nov
Sir Muir Grey, who set up the National Screening Committee to sort out the very serious errors arising from the original cervical screening programme has plenty to say about Ooerafiin Moonshot.

It isn’t good.
He calls for “an immediate pause” to this mass Covid screening of the symptomless, until it’s scrutinised by the National Screening Committee.”

Yes. Staggeringly. The National Screening Committee with decades of experience have not been consulted at all.
A negative test may wrongly feel like a route to freedom, but that’s “premature”, he warns, without improving “the woeful performance of the ‘find, test, trace and isolate’ system”.

False negative rate is between 1 in 2 and 1 in 4 when used in the community. Ie positives missed
Read 6 tweets
Fionna O'Leary, 🕯🇪🇺 Profile picture
19 Nov
Just watched this on Streaming. Will watch again tomorrow at 9pm BBC. Very shocking. We have one human Coronavirus expert in the U.K. : Dr David Matthews, Bristol Uni.

He was not invited on any of the Gov advisory committees.
When he heard 23/24 Jan that Chinese data suggest the RR was 2.5-3.5 he thought “Oh Shit. This is going to go and go and go... run around the world”

Why was he not invited on the Gov committees early on?

Of many other striking points is the absence of other expertise.
Despite identifying the elderly and care homes as a high risk by 18/3/20 from incoming Chinese data the people on the committees seemed to have no understanding of how Care Homes worked, were staffed, the use of agency staff and the fact that careers have lives in the community
Read 19 tweets
Fionna O'Leary, 🕯🇪🇺 Profile picture
19 Nov
Inquiry 'found Priti Patel broke behaviour rules' - BBC News

It “concluded that the "home secretary had not met the requirements of the ministerial code to treat civil servants with consideration and respect".
bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politi…
“They added that the investigation had found evidence of bullying, even if it had not been intentional.

Another source who saw the report called it "unambiguous in stating that Priti Patel broke the ministerial code and that the prime minister buried it".
And a clip from Sky.
Read 4 tweets
Fionna O'Leary, 🕯🇪🇺 Profile picture
19 Nov
🦠🦠 22,913 new cases. Processing was UP yesterday after a spell of being down. I was unable to book a home test today. For many that is the only practical test.

⚰️⚰️⚰️. 501 (28 day cut off) deaths

🏥 1641 admissions on Sunday so I was pretty accurate in my prediction Image
🛌 IN HOSPITAL. 16,409 on Tuesday

That is just over 3k off the peak in April. The rate of increase is slowing but still edging up with reductions in some areas (eg NW) being offset by quite rapid increases in hitherto low ingress regions such as the SW. ImageImage
53,775 deaths (28 day cut off) total

BUT

63,873 people with COVID certified deaths.(ONS up to 6th November). There have been AT LEAST 2374 deaths since then by lagging date of death data.

66247 COVID deaths MINIMUM.

75k excess deaths. Image
Read 4 tweets

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