1/ Everyone, literally everyone, was wrong on Covid-19 in one form or the other and some worse than others. But I have yet to find people saying “I had this and this wrong.” From Fauci and governors down to pundits and MDs. I was wrong on not getting fully how quick this can
2/ go from 0 to 100 but there are some caveats in this admission: I did buy masks Feb 23 which was 2 days before the CDC said that COVID-19 should be seen like a bad flu and it was 15 days before Fauci said that healthy people can go on a cruise. In addition I had said repeatedly
3/ in early March that we need to be prepared not panicked because panic may lead to mayhem. Panic was likely a contributing factor in the speed that drove this from 0 to 100. So to an extent the speed proves my take right; not wrong. Data shows that COVID-19 was in many states
4/ weeks or months earlier than known. So if Coronavirus has both exponential growth and a death rate of a few percent (as was claimed early on), mass deaths should have happened much sooner but it happened only after panic policies were implemented.

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More from @YossiGestetner

22 Nov
What @JackPosobiec is doing now on Twitter is proving that from 2016 through most of 2020, Dems, Libs and Big Media were talking about vote hacking and other vote issues, so to shut down now Trump’s claims as HAHAH CRAZY and “undermining democracy” is dishonest. That’s all.
Exhibit A, B, C and D that until recently it was not LOL CRAZY and “undermining our democracy” to talk about election hacking.

H/T @JackPosobiec and paging the sophisticated conservatives who are joining in with Dems to LOL at Trump for now claiming the same. ImageImageImageImage
Exhibit E, F, G and H that until recently it was not LOL CRAZY and “undermining our democracy” to claim and/or report about alleged election hacking. ImageImageImageImage
Read 6 tweets
20 Nov
.@MittRomney In one form or the other, the federal gov chased the collusion hoax for 2.5 years including by abusing FISA, spying on the campaign of an opposing political party and Obama/Biden/IC leaders meeting in the Oval about it on 1/5/17. You were in no rush to see evidence.
The Let-Mueller-Do-His-Job gang in the GOP does not want to let audits do its job on the vote.

Strange.
Let-Mueller-Do-His-Job for 22 months (after 12 months of other investigations) but don’t let election audits do its job even for a day.

“Principled.”

cc @MittRomney @BenSasse
Read 5 tweets
18 Nov
.@EWErickson You are mocking any need or value in recounts so stop pretending that the system works because you oppose part of the system.

Moreover, since you admit that observers flag things that BOEs miss, then welcome Trump’s battle about observer issues in a few states.
The gaslighting by @EWErickson and other non-Trump Republicans is amazing: From day 1 they opposed any call or need for recounts/audits but when we keep showing them how new counts uncover issues, they say “look, the system works.” No, HACKS. You oppose this part of the system.
Non-Trump Conservatives/GOPs the last 2 weeks: “Trump is stupid for wanting recounts, audits and observers.”

[Recounts, audits and observers find issues such as 5,000 new votes in GA; a state with a 14,155 pre-recount margin]

Non-Trump gang: “See? We told you the system works!”
Read 5 tweets
16 Nov
Now that results in key battle ground states have stabilized, let’s look at 2-3 polling firms.

First, the ratings that @NateSilver538’s @FiveThirtyEight gives for those firms.

A+ when NYT sponsors Siena.

B+ for @QuinnipiacPoll

C- for @trafalgar_group
Wisconsin:

11 point Biden win per Siena/NYT.

1 point Biden win per Trafalgar.

0.7 is the reported Biden win.

Siena/NYT overshot Biden by 10.3.

Trafalgar overshot Biden by 0.3.

Trafalgar wins this by 10.0.
Michigan:

8 point Biden win per Siena/NYT.

2 point Trump win per Trafalgar.

2.7 is the reported Biden win.

Siena/NYT overshot Biden by 5.3.

Trafalgar overshot Trump by 4.7.

Trafalgar wins this by 0.6.
Read 7 tweets
15 Nov
🚨Just wow.

A recount in NH for a county legislative seat, gave the Dem an additional 380 votes and the GOPer and added 1,600 votes.

In Windham, NH a recount added a few 100 votes per seat where only 8K-9K people voted. This is a HUGE % change of votes.

unionleader.com/news/politics/… ImageImage
Look at a NH’s State Assembly district covering 4 seats (voters in a district choose 4 if I understand it correctly):

The most competitive seat at first had 8,936 votes. 198 were added at recount.

8,020 votes were given in the least competitive seat. 316 were added at recount. Image
🚨 🚨 🚨 Insane numbers out of a NH State Rep district (where voters choose 4 seats):

A GOPer first had 5,256 votes. Recount added 298; a 5.6% jump.

Another had a 6.3% rise; the next had 5.6% and another gained 6.6%.

Recount change for Dems:

0.65%

0.81%

0.75%

LOSS of 2.2% Image
Read 26 tweets
15 Nov
A senior @TeamTrump comms person appeared today on Fox. Instead of giving math/claims why they think Trump can flip back GA, AZ and WI, she spoke about windows being covered in MI during the count as if BOEs have open windows for the public to look at the count. @TeamClowns.
How useless is Trump’s Comms team?

This bad:

Their Director of Comms posted today a 2012 news from the NYT that mail ins have issues. Tim is SO happy with this find that he pinned the tweet.

I tweeted the item a week ago.

Does @TimMurtaugh not have a research team?

Sheesh.
It’s tough to beat @TimMurtaugh on TV; he is a sharp spox but my focus is the points being made or lack thereof.

The same is with @ErinMPerrine yesterday; a senior press person. @LelandVittert was disrespectful (almost abusive) but her points about PA/MI were off the rails.
Read 4 tweets

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