Very information packed thread from @rupert_pearse on the status quo in hospitals approaching Winter.
Essential reading.
I suspect we will be looking at a slower paced more Mexican Wave than the Spring sharp peaks and troughs. So as things slow in the NW they are rising in SW
Essential reading.
I suspect we will be looking at a slower paced more Mexican Wave than the Spring sharp peaks and troughs. So as things slow in the NW they are rising in SW
https://twitter.com/rupert_pearse/status/1330057811783454728
The reference to 15000 in hospital. In fact was 1644 on Wednesday, the last complete day and looks likely to be similar now.
That is just about 3k off the peak of Spring surge when it was under 20k.
That is just about 3k off the peak of Spring surge when it was under 20k.
Sorry 16,440!
Especially important to remember that 1/. Hospitals haven’t cancelled other operations admissions in the main, as they did in Spring and
2/ Whilst Mortality after ICU also remains lower (23% vs 40%). But REMEMBER: 45% of these patients are still in hospital. They haven’t died but they have yet to survive. 6/12
So some patients in hospital longer.
So some patients in hospital longer.
He says “The NHS heads into the winter months with many hospital beds occupied by patients with a highly infectious disease. This will definitely be my hardest NHS winter since 1999/2000 when we had a very bad flu season, and probably the hardest of my career.”
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