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Jed Shugerman Profile picture
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21 Nov, 6 tweets, 2 min read
I’ve seen enough.
We have a new realigned two-party system:

The Democratic Party and QAnon.
In all historical seriousness, we have had massive party disruptions by conspiracy theories in America, some legit, some insane:
The Anti-Masons
The Know-Nothings American Party
The Republicans (anti-slave power conspiracy - legit!)
KKK surge 1920s...
I was listening to a CBC podcast on the “Satanic Panic” of the 1980s: mass delusions about Day Care ritual sexual child abuse, in reaction to working mothers, the sexual revolution, suburbanization, and cultural change.

We are experiencing an even more severe reaction today.
@CBC @uncovercbc podcast, Season 6: Satanic Panic.
7 episodes.
Chilling, outrageous prosecutorial/police misconduct in Canada (and America) in the 1980s.
The final episode makes the connections to QAnon today. Horrifying preview of what's next in America?
cbc.ca/radio/uncover/…
Podcast suggests projection:
A rise in real child abuse at home, not by strangers.
Real abuse in state "residential schools" of First Nations/Native children.

I'd add:
The Catholic Church led the mass delusion about child abuse...

...while engaged in its own massive cover-up.
We are seeing more explicit QAnon-ism in the Trump Conspiracy Theories about the 2020 Election.
This is horribly dangerous turn for the GOP to encourage:

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More from @jedshug

Jed Shugerman Profile picture
19 Nov
I understand why people are anxious. But Biden will be president on January 20th.

Any worst-case scenario falls short.
The conservative Justices are not insane, nor are they bad at math.
They already have a 6-3 arch-conservative majority locked it. Why burn it down now?
1/
2/ Let’s start with one worst-case scenario: Non-certification.
Even if Trump blocks the certification of ALL five close states, Biden still have a lead of 233-232 among appointed electors, and wins the electoral college under the 12th Amendment:
3/ Let me add that this isn't going to happen. Michigan has a Democrat as Sec of State (see below) and is going to certify its electors. So will the other states...
But let's play this out anyway...
Read 14 tweets
Jed Shugerman Profile picture
16 Nov
So there was indeed election fraud in Georgia...
@LindseyGrahamSC, call your lawyer.
“@LindseyGrahamSC also asked whether Raffensperger had the power to toss all mail ballots in counties found to have higher rates of nonmatching signatures, Raffensperger (Republican Secretary of State) said.”
Lordy, if there are tapes...
3/ @washingtonpost:
Raffspenger said he was stunned Graham seemed to suggest he find a way to toss legally cast ballots. Absent court orders, Raffensperger doesn’t have the power to do what Graham suggested.
“It sure looked like he was wanting to go down that road,” he said.
Read 4 tweets
Jed Shugerman Profile picture
10 Nov
Threading on the ACA California v. Texas SCOTUS case.
The Justices asked Cal's Michael Mongan (defending the ACA) mostly about standing. Little on severability -- which is the threat to the whole ACA. Odd.

We won't get a sense of the Court until the challengers face questions.
Breyer was asking his first question, focusing on severability, and Roberts just cut him off and called on Alito (who has less seniority). This is very weird. Probably a technical glitch, but not a good look.
Breyer was actually asking a tough question for the ACA on non-severability:
"ACA supporters told us that the individual mandate was necessary for the entire ACA balance of costs. Isn't that a relevant fact for interpreting the statute?"
I hope he gives Verrilli a chance.
Read 13 tweets
Jed Shugerman Profile picture
6 Nov
Philadelphia just released a new batch of absentee votes:
Out of 5799 ballots:
5073 Biden (87%)
726 Trump (13%)
Trump's lead is down to 18,229.

There are more than 53,000 Philly ballots still to count.

At this consistent rate, Philly alone will give Biden a 20,000 lead.
Georgia:
Clayton County just released 268 ballots:
249 for Biden (93%)
**19** for Trump (7%)
Trump's lead is down to **1,479**

And there are a lot of Biden net votes left in Atlanta and Savannah.
Clayton just reported 816 ballots:
709 for Biden (87%)
107 for Trump (13%)
602 net Biden... with more to come soon.

Trump's Georgia lead is down to **665** votes.
Kornacki: "We are maybe one more batch away from Biden taking the lead in Georgia."
Read 4 tweets
Jed Shugerman Profile picture
4 Nov
I'm seeing that Fox News just called Arizona for Biden.

Big, if right.
Biden now has a clear path to 270 without waiting for Pennsylvania.
This is the map with Arizona, Wisconsin, and Michigan, but not Pennsylvania or ME2 or NE2:

Biden 279 (a win)
Trump 249
(leaving PA undecided).
I am getting a ton of questions about why Michigan and Wisconsin look red right now.
Those counts right now are part of the infamous "red mirage" we've been talking about since August, because we knew they wouldn't count any Dem-dominated mail/absentee votes.
Read 5 tweets
Jed Shugerman Profile picture
30 Oct
The 8th Cir ruled 2-1 last night that Minnesota must set aside any ballots postmarked on time but arriving after election day.

One of the 2 is viciously anti-gay Trump appointee Leonard Grasz, whose ABA panel unanimously declared "not qualified."
americanbar.org/advocacy/gover…
The majority claims to rely on "state legislatures" as the Constitution's rule, but invents a reason to ignore MN legislation delegating power to MN Sec of State to adopt "alternatives" in case of an order like the state court order here.
Here's the majority, then the dissent:
Here's the dissent.
Folks, this decision is a joke. This 2-1 majority purports to defer to state legislatures, but ignores state legislation and the state legislature, as well as a state court.
This "federalism" is really just federal judges' partisan judicial activism.
Read 4 tweets

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