I find myself more with @tomscocca here than you. You write <slowboring.com/p/whats-wrong-…> 'The problem here, to me, is not that Walker ought to “stick to sports.” It’s that the analysis is bad. But because it’s in a video game console review rather than a policy analysis 1/
@mattyglesias@tomscocca section and conforms to the predominant ideological fads, it just sails through to our screens...'
And then you say: 'What actually happened is that starting in March the household savings rate soared.... Middle class people are seeing their homeowners’ equity rise and... 2/
@mattyglesias@tomscocca their debt payments fall, while cash piles up on their balance sheets...' This makes sense as a criticism of Ian Walker only if you think that when Ian Walker wrote 'I’d be remiss to ignore all the reasons not to be excited for the PlayStation 5...', it was meant to be the 3/
@mattyglesias@tomscocca start of an argument that the PS5 will not sell very well because of the epidemiological-economic-cultural uproar of the plague year.
But I do not think that was what Ian Walker was doing at all. When he wrote 'I’d be remiss to ignore all the reasons not to be excited for 4/
@mattyglesias@tomscocca the PlayStation 5...', he was doing what Chaucer does at the end of the Canterbury tales—saying: 'OK. You have had a good read and a good laugh. But now I need to remind you of the most important things <gutenberg.org/files/22120/22…> that all his readers join him in praying: 5/
@mattyglesias@tomscocca 'Graunte me grace of verray penitence, confessioun and satisfaccioun to doon in this present lyf; thurgh the benigne grace of him that is king of kinges and preest over alle preestes, that boghte us with the precious blood of his herte; / so that I may been oon of hem at the 6/
Ian Walker is doing something very similar to Geoffrey Chaucer here. Ian Walker **is** very excited about the PS5: 'This review has spent 3,000 words talking about the PlayStation 5, which is the most I’ve written about 7/
@mattyglesias@tomscocca anything. It’s as good a video game console as there has ever been. The combination of ultra high-definition video, increased framerates, high-end graphics techniques like ray tracing, and the lightning-fast SSD make it feel like a real-deal, next-gen successor to the 8/
@mattyglesias@tomscocca PlayStation 4. And if you’re not ready to give up on the previous console, the PlayStation 5 reliably runs a vast majority of the PlayStation 4 library, with many of those games receiving upgrades to fidelity, framerate, and loading times.' That is the passage that immediately 9/
@mattyglesias@tomscocca precedes 'But I would be remiss'. What Ian Walker is doing is an act of confession: he is excited about the PS5, but he is letting that excitement crowd the important things out of his soul, and he wants to mark that allowing that to happen is a sin. His idea of sin is 10/
@mattyglesias@tomscocca very different from Chaucer's: rather than calling to mind his need to 'thanke I oure lord Iesu Crist and his blisful moder, and alle the seintes of hevene...', Ian Walker wants to call to mind the 'covid-19 pandemic... Americans out of work... that the worst people aren’t 11/
@mattyglesias@tomscocca going away just because a new old white man is sitting behind the Resolute desk... a lot of people simply won’t be able to buy a PlayStation 5... [his own] privilege... [that he can] simply tune out the world as it burns around you...'
This is not 'analysis [that] is bad...
@mattyglesias@tomscocca But because it’s in a video game console review rather than a policy analysis section and conforms to the predominant ideological fads, it just sails through to our screens...'
Ian is not forecasting how the pent-up hoarded cash is going to show itself in spending on 13/
@mattyglesias@tomscocca consumer electronics next year—that is the thing I am doing, not the thing he does.
What Ian Walker is doing is shifting into Woke Theology Mode.
And, Matt, I think you miss his point because you take him to be doing a bad version of the forecasting exercises that I do. 14/
Matthew C. Klein, "Trade Wars are Class Wars." Fr 2020-11-13 12:00 PM PST: Trade Wars are Class Wars: How Rising Inequality Distorts the Global Economy and Threatens International Peace." The talk will be moderated by Professor Brad DeLong (Economics) 1/
Trade disputes are usually understood as conflicts between countries with competing national interests, but as Matthew C. Klein and Michael Pettis show, they are often the unexpected result of domestic political choices to serve the interests of the 2/
rich at the expense of workers and ordinary retirees. Klein and Pettis trace the origins of today’s trade wars to decisions made by politicians and business leaders in China, Europe, and the United States over the past thirty years. Across the world, 3/
The sad thing is that so few got what I think is the principal message: In a full-employment flex-price economy, when you hit the zero lower bound the economy deals with it by generating inflation. If 1/
@paulkrugman think—as I do—that the task of the central bank is to make Say's Law true in practice even though it is false in theory & to mimic what a full-employment economy would do, that means: when you hit the zero lower bound, generate inflation.
But lots of people did not get that. 2/
@paulkrugman I find myself particularly thinking about Bernanke, whose take on Japan princeton.edu/~pkrugman/bern… was that its depression was self-induced, and that claims of monetary-policy impotence violated an arbitrage condition. So prolonged depression was the central bank's fault.
DeLongToday <delongtoday.com> earlier this morning. From the Q&A:
**Q: What did you think about the debate?** A: Back in the 1960s, SF State University President S.I. Hayakawa became a U.S. Senator—briefly—by making sure he controlled the microphone. Chris Wallace... 1/
A (cont): ... committed moderatorial malpractice by not having—and using—a microphone switch. May whoever follows him as a moderator be… less oblivious to the situation.
**Q: What do you think of the "Trump Economy"?** A: About the Trump economy, what is to say? Douglas... 2/
A (cont): ...Holtz-Eakin—who can always be counted to make a much-more-than-fair case for the Republican and paint only rosy-Republican scenario pictures—claims that Trump is a zero: that the good done by the tax cut has been balanced by the bad done by fighting and... 3/
Willem Jongman (2006): Gibbon Was Right: þe Decline & Fall of þe Roman Economy github.com/braddelong/pub…: ‘Imagine a pre-industrial and largely agricultural economy in a fairly stable equilibrium. Next that equilibrium is disturbed by catastrophic... 1/
Jongman (cont.): ... mortality: what do we expect to happen when the proportion between people and assets changes?… Prices and wages rose quite dramatically in the wake of the Antonine Plague… [and] the coinage itself began its slide into substantial debasement... 2/
Jongman (cont.): ...Theoretically, there was no need for that. The money stock was large, and by now even too large…
...The reason must have been the needs of the state. It had become difficult to collect taxes in the turmoil of the day, precisely when the state also... 3/
@Claudia_Sahm But we are, again. & this time the political considerations are all on the side of the Republicans cooperating to try to boost employment...
I watched Markus Brunnermeier & Gita Gopinath earlier this week make the case that "it's not stimulus, it's insurance for SME survival" 1/
@Claudia_Sahm Both of them seemed to me to be on the edge of tears—although it is hard to tell given low video bandwidth.
It seems that Republican legislators & professional Republican economists actually believe that fiscal multipliers are zero. Which is distinctly odd. They believe that 1/
@Claudia_Sahm monetary policy affects prices, which means that lowering interest rates induces some agents to spend more, and that spending more than increases aggregate demand. Yet somehow the government deciding to spend more does not increase AD, even though it would if the government 2/
Glasner is right in noting that _History of Economic Analysis_ is written with a generosity of spirit toward the discipline and its members that... one would not have expected had one, say, just been 1/
One feels like one has been slapped in the face with a wet fish when one reaches S's accusation that Keynes was a rootless cosmopolite willfully refusing to look beyond the moment: "[Keynes was] the English 2/
intellectual, a little _deraciné_ and beholding a most uncomfortable situation. He was childless and his philosophy of life was essentially a short-run philosophy..."
And then one comes at the end of the obituary to the fangs-bared attack on the younger generation of now- 3/