Financial History: Sunday Reads

• An Exciting Announcement

• The Bubble Triangle

• The First Bubble: New Evidence

• Speculative Finance: Cycle Mania

• Fraud & Financial Scandals

• Another 20's Bubble?

investoramnesia.com/2020/11/22/bub…
"Wall Street Bubbles; Always the Same"

(1901)

Blows my mind when people 100+ years ago say stuff like this, and nothing has changed.
Little things like this illustration just really demonstrate how little human nature changes over the course of centuries.

For all the progress we've made as a society, 100+ years ago people stated "every bubble is the same", and it still holds true.

Crazy!
I mean, this is basically an uglier version of the same scene almost *another* 100 years back.

(blowing 'bubbles' into a speculator's desperate arms)
And while it doesn't fit the pattern perfectly...

I'll take any excuse to share this depiction of the 1720 bubbles where speculators were literally defecating and farting stock certificates

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More from @InvestorAmnesia

10 Nov
Take the time to read this 1886 Economist piece. Trust me. (Seriously)

An all time favorite historical source I like to re-read.

Excellent insight into human nature via a description of the Guinness IPO in 1886, and investor mania.

Gem.
This writing...

"It was doo delightful; it was betting on a certainty, or subscribing to a lottery in which all the tickets were prizes...

The world which desires money, quickly and easily made - and that world is the largest of all - was stirred to its foundations."
"Experience of one generation seldom teaches another... not one business-man in three in the City of London could write out an outline history of the last [mania].

Experience will not prevent speculative manias any more than it will prevent ambitious wars..."
Read 5 tweets
23 Aug
Financial History: Sunday Reads

• IPO Pricing: The Very Long Run

• Private Origins of Private Companies

• Why Go Public?

• Five Eras of Financial Markets

• Financial Innovation & Market Access

• Private Capital & Public Credit: Railways

investoramnesia.com/2020/08/23/the…
"Proportion held, in aggregate, by the Harvard, Princeton, and Yale endowments..."

(1900 - 2013)
Two awesome charts from some of today's papers:
Read 6 tweets
9 Aug
Financial History: Sunday Reads

• Electric Vehicles: A 19th Century Innovation

• Tech Revolutions: Bicycle Mania

• Sketchy Startups & The South Sea Bubble

• The Birth of Electric Cars

• The 17th Century Tech Bubble

investoramnesia.com/2020/08/09/spe…
This made my week.

The Reddit post in the second picture is a *perfect* example of the speculative pattern I discuss in today's Sunday Reads...

And as a writer, there is nothing more satisfying than knowing your work resonated with someone.
Some "new" innovations that are actually a century old:

• Electric Taxi Cab Fleets in NYC (1897)

• Electric Trucks (1899)
Read 7 tweets
26 Jul
Financial History: Sunday Reads

• A Short History of Tontines

• The Allure of Public Markets

• SPACs in the South Sea Bubble?

• The Birth of Investment Trusts

• Financial Weapons of Mass Destruction

investoramnesia.com/2020/07/26/fin…
Today's Sunday Reads covers the general history of financial contraptions, but specifically SPACs and Tontines.

I answer questions like why did Bill Ackman name his SPAC after a 17th century financial contraption described as:

"Part annuity, part mortality lottery"
Tontines are crucial to American history.

After signing the Buttonwood Agreement, the brokers needed a place to conduct business, and settled on a coffee shop.

A tontine financed construction of the "The Tontine Coffee House", which later evolved into the NYSE.
Read 4 tweets
16 Jul
Quick Super Thread on what I've been covering at Investor Amnesia during COVID-19.

To continue receiving these financial history insights each week, subscribe below.

History is a particularly sought after resource these days, so share this thread!

mailchi.mp/investoramnesi…
The first dive into Pandemics and Financial Markets:

investoramnesia.com/2020/03/01/pan…
A look at market crashes and further research on the history of Pandemics:

investoramnesia.com/2020/03/29/pan…
Read 14 tweets
2 Jul
Wow. This article from 1896 sounds familiar.

A slight raise in rates by the Bank of England spooked investors that had grown accustomed to 'cheap money'.

Make sure to read this thread. Fascinating stuff.
"Such a system works comfortably and profitably enough as long as the 'cheap money,' which is at once its basis and its effect, continues."
Cheap Money (1896)

"Speculators [got] an effective warning that they could not count on the reality of their dream of perpetual cheap money...

And amply proved that the dangers to which a long period of abundant credit had been said to expose... markets simply shriveled up"
Read 4 tweets

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