Good to hear Dr. Slaoui (OWS) argue that we'll have 70% of population vaccinated and reach herd immunity in May. But we need to see the data. The Pfizer/Moderna volumes alone will not get us there that fast. Astra Zeneca not even through Phase III. #CNNSOTU@jaketapper
@jaketapper Helpful from Dr. Jha. 2 Q's still 1. why not put the 60 mill who have had COVID at end of immunization line? Would help accelerate. And 2. do we just skip those in early priority groups who refuse to take vaccine and move on? Would also accelerate. threadreaderapp.com/thread/1330519…
OK, becoming a thread. Assume @ashishkjha analysis correct. Still the case that schoolkids and many of their families will not be vaccinated until much later in '21. So.... here's something current and next Admin can agree to do right now, 3/x
1. Coordinate plans on fully funded program to reopen as many K-12 schools as fast as possible in the New Year. 2. Program would include a. putting K-12 teachers/staff into Phase 1 of vaccine distro, as D.C. has decided to do, 2. incremental staff to allow for distancing, 4/x
b. ventilation/filtration and c. #FFAST -- fast, frequent, asymptomatic testing. Why #FFAST ? Even if teachers/staff vaccinated, kids/their families won't be and we still have to see and stop spread fast. Why would this and next admin work together on this? 5/x
This week 1. CDC changed guidance to say >50% of cases are asymptomatic 2. Both Dr. Fauci and Dr. Birx now calling for much and more frequent testing including asymptomatics. 3. Dr. Birx has said a. colleges with #FFAST have had 10x fewer cases than those without and 6/x
3b. Nation needs 10x the test volume Right now. This is consistent with @RockefellerFdn and others advising @Transition46 . Why else would Trump Admini support? 1. They've pushed to keep schools open -- this gets that done. Let's do it! gw-partnership.medium.com/ffast-forward-… 7/7 fin
We're going to need FFAST, Fast Frequent Asymptomatic Testing, through 2021. Particularly to safely reopen our public schools. medium.com/@GW_Partnershi… Why? 1/x
1. Pfizer has indicated it will allocated 25 mill of its 50 mill global vaccine production this year to U.S. That's 12.5 mill people, about 3% of U.S. population. 2/x
Head of Operation Warp Speed indicated yesterday that he hopes Pfizer will provide 20 - 25 mill per month in 2021. That would mean around 10% of U.s. population immunized by end Q1 2021 3/x
Unemployment is and will be through the roof across the nation. Everyone, but students in particular, want and need mission-driven employment opportunities immediately. Ponder this for my second home-state, Maine; pressherald.com/2020/04/26/mai… 2/n
Massachusetts and some other states (NY, w/ Bloomberg) are scaling contact tracing quickly -- 1,000 about to be trained in MA. Yea! But -- few states have expertise and $$ to do this. So a national program is vital. nytimes.com/2020/04/16/us/… 3/n