Phil Kerpen Profile picture
23 Nov, 6 tweets, 3 min read
DC reports two deaths with COVID. Now 26 in November.

Both Hispanic. Still zero White non-Hispanic DC COVID deaths since Sep 15. 55 minorities in a row.
DC pre-Thanksgiving testing boom continues, lowering % pos.

Positives / Tests %
1-Day: 139 / 8,929 1.56%
7-Day: 1226 / 49,109 2.50%
14-Day: 2203 / 80,647 2.73%
28-Day: 3478 / 141,271 2.46%
Total COVID-19 Patients in DC Hospitals: 135
DC positive PCR % chart from HHS data. Per this dataset Biden boom looks sharper but already over. Back to 2%.
healthdata.gov/dataset/covid-…
Truer date than DC-source data. (See note.)

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More from @kerpen

21 Nov
DC reports 1 death with COVID. Now 24 in November.

Positives / Tests %
1-Day: 153 / 6,580 2.33%
7-Day: 1147 / 35,465 3.23%
14-Day: 2070 / 68,199 3.04%
28-Day: 3255 / 127,231 2.56%
Total COVID-19 Patients in DC Hospitals: 122
Read 5 tweets
19 Nov
DC reports 2 deaths with COVID. Now 21 in November.

Positives / Tests %
1-Day: 213 / 6,422 3.32%
7-Day: 1171 / 36,304 3.23%
14-Day: 1996 / 67,332 2.96%
28-Day: 3141 / 128,399 2.45%
Total COVID-19 Patients in DC Hospitals: 122
Read 4 tweets
17 Nov
DC reports zero deaths with COVID. Still 14 in November.

Positives / Tests %
1-Day: 245 / 6,390 3.83%
7-Day: 1136 / 34,909 3.25%
14-Day: 1785 / 63,323 2.82%
28-Day: 2864 / 122,935 2.33%
Looks like some forward transmission from the Biden boom.
Total COVID-19 Patients in DC Hospitals: 112
Read 4 tweets
16 Nov
DC numbers today show unusually low testing, spiking the pos percentage unusually high. Hospital census declining. Weekly pos % over 3% for the first time since June.
DC reports zero deaths with COVID. Still 14 in November.

Positives / Tests %
1-Day: 87 / 1,732 5.02%
7-Day: 977 / 31,538 3.10%
14-Day: 1626 / 62,178 2.62%
28-Day: 2669 / 121,312 2.20%
Total COVID-19 Patients in DC Hospitals: 101
Read 5 tweets
5 Nov
DC reports 3 deaths with COVID. Now 4 in November.

Positives / Tests %
1-Day: 81 / 3,411 2.37%
7-Day: 608 / 30,638 1.98%
14-Day: 1145 / 61,067 1.87%
28-Day: 1917 / 123,686 1.55%
Note some of the modest increase in % positive may come from the way DC is using antigen tests.

Contrary to Dr. Birx's recommendation to PCR confirm positive antigen tests, DC is doing the opposite and counting antigen positives as cases while PCR confirming the negatives.
Read 4 tweets
3 Nov
Study of 12 million adults in England.

"living with children 0-11 years was not associated with increased risks of recorded SARS-CoV-2 infection, COVID-19 related hospital or ICU admission but WAS associated with REDUCED risk of COVID-19 death"

medrxiv.org/content/10.110…
"We found no evidence for a reduction in risk following school closure."
Living with children LOWERED risk of COVID death for adults both under age 65 and over 65. ImageImage
Read 4 tweets

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