Herd Immunity is so BADLY understood, and subject of innumerable lies, misinformation and myths.
There's CONSTANT hammering on simple ideas from fear propaganda. Main lie is we haven't reach HI, we're far away from it, as we need a 60-70%
Let's bring some scientifical light.
HI is considered a binary issue, you have it or not. That's BLATANTLY a lie.
With EVERY SINGLE infection, HI grows&provides some degree of common protection, as any infected will die or, over 99%, survive.
Both ways he gets out of any transmission chain.
It will slow any epidemic transmission & make the Rt descend
Proportional to HI growth, spread ALSO slows
Even in the SO WRONG 70% theory, 5% diffusion will slow spread, bigger ones like 15 or 20 will SERIOUSLY affect it
The NON exponential growth, but Gompertz, reflects this
If you're A TRUE scientific like @SunetraGupta or @mgmgomes1 you'll find that this growth affects SO dramatically transmission chains, that a certain point, those more likely to infect many become immune, or die, and provoke a bottleneck making the epidemic to stop.
HI threshold
U only have to consider that were all not equal, that ones are more prone to get infected (+contacts,-defences), some are more likely to transmit (+contacts); and u MATHEMATICALLY will find that a HIT 10%~25% will (IS!) happen.
No way u reach 70 without burning the bottleneck
Climate conditions put different limits for HIT needed, thus making seasonality+HIT the true regents for the epidemic
HITs lower than 5% are enough to stop epidemic in moderate climate summers. We've already seen it
When weather becomes better for virus again, it may come back
The fear official narrative is attacking and trying to silence this science, even thru personal attacking as censorship, as the sad story of those 2 brave women shows. Just check their TLs
It's our duty to struggle this good science to enter on the debate RIGHT NOW
Here it goes
Herd Immunity Threshold can be reached with low (>20%) infection rates.
You don't have to fully reach any limit to grow protection from HI, and any close you get to HIT protects society and slows spread very fast.
70% needed and any HI being useless till u reach it IS LIE.
HI isn't a good or evil policy, IT'S A FACT. It's happening ALL the time
Vaccination works THIS way, as there's people u can't vax, and avoiding contacts to infect, u protect them
As 70% is calculated thru 1-1/R0, they're lying given a number: R0 stills a highly debatable issue
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The restrictions we're applying are WEAKENING those vulnerable Isolation is proven a weaker for the oldies, it causes suffer, stress and life expectancy loss in the older, as all the good pre covid science knows
Living stressing situations alone, is worsening old people's health
Restrictions are ALSO worsening the rest of population health thru brutal health care access, intolerable levels of fear and stress and general poverty.
Education loss, preventive medicine and misery have a huge cost on lifes expectancy for them all.
Being numbers of infected so small and similar (42vs53) the confidence margin lead to a cloud of possibilities in which the most probable is NO DIFFERENCE at all.
Statistical extremes are masks being ~40% effective OR even ~20% perjuditial.
Masks aren't saving humanity.
We all have seen this crappy pure fictional graphs as science. They never were
Now we've the truth
The BEST, even so unlikely, mask benefit is only ~40%.
But the most likely, as science knew, is that NO DIFFERENCE shows. They're useless.
Covid paranoic narrative has stand from the very beginning in IGNORANCE.
We don't know, that's always the answer.
We scientifically DID know a lot: epidemics, respiratory viruses, coronavirus.
Then we quick learn A HUGE LOT on cv19.
We're just forced to pretend we don't know.
There's no troll claiming this universal need of ignorance: I don't know equals nobody does, it doesn't matter u being the science schooling. Ignorance must be defended.
And so, everything becomes new and concerning.
Curiously we're demanded infinite faith on covid full paraphernalia.
Restrictions, which have no evidence at all working, neither in pre, nor in post covid science, MUST be done.
'Young healthy people dies/suffers horrible sequels' is statistically false, but we act like is truth
To cover the FACT that restrictions are blatantly doing nothing on epidemic develope, press and politics have applied the perverse blaming game reasoning:
When numbers are good, it's restrictions working.
When they go bad, IRRESPONSIBLE citizens are to blame.
So, Madrid restrictions are miraculous working because they're fine; but SAME restrictions, with some harder ones added, FAILING in Catalonia are definitely because of irresponsible citizenship.
Astounding how much of the population buys this shit: social suspiciousness rises.
That childish egocentric mentality shows up in polls.
Asked for self degree of norm accomplish, people value themselves 8.9/10
They consider the rest only doing 5.4/10
Truth, accomplish is high&even: this cognitive dissonance avoids a terrible fact. Restrictions don't work
The very early and wide spread of the virus, implies its presence wasn't producing anything notorious without the press panic push.
It was there, and running, and it wasn't the end of the world.
And it wasn't one isolate case, but a good 10% in September.
2nd, the epidemic develope presents the same seasonality we've observed in 2020.
It's notorious that 19 develope occurred WITHOUT restrictions, and the 20 with the most insane ones.
With no restrictions at all, the virus waved down naturally.
Modern medicine was SO incredible in 2019. We've reached a scifi level of knowledge&practice, over some certain basic practices working very good. Problem was resources, not protocols.
Why is now better to do what WE'VE NEVER DONE BEFORE?!!
IT'S NOT.
Science was good enough!
Quarentining the infected? Never Done Before with modern medicine.
Testing for respiratory virus as universal diagnosis tool? NDB
Trying to trace a respiratory desease? NDB
Universal masking? NDB
Confining the healthy? NDB
Monopolizing health resources to ONE cause? NDB
Considering asymptomatics as sick? NDB
Considering any person as a vector? NDB
Banning mouth to mouth resurrection maneuver as general caution protocol in emergency? NBD
Accepting cloth masks as valid for virus stopping? NDB
Using PCR as diagnosis tool? NDB