The communication of large economic data is awful and, no matter how many times people say that talking about a loss of GDP means zero to most people it is still churned out without any effort to reduce it to terms that ordinary people can connect to.
“ Few had a wider understanding of how the economy’s growth performance might affect them and thought GDP was “economic jargon and a turn-off”, according to Mr Runge.
“The responses to questions on unemployment will prove more of a concern to the ONS and politicians because less than 40% thought a description of unemployment at around 4% was very accurate or fairly accurate. Unemployment was at that level when the research was carried out.”
49% of people surveyed really thought that stay at home parents NOT claiming unemployment benefit were included in the Gov unemployment data.

This is a comms failure.

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More from @fascinatorfun

28 Nov
The usual dimwit band of Brexiteers will be as wrong on Brexit as they have been on CV19– but it will all be too late

A standard technique for torturers is to 1st show the victim the misery that is going to be inflicted upon them before actually doing it independent.co.uk/voices/coronav…
Not just Brexit as a torture regime but. CV19 too. Do you have a sense that having read and agreed with this our job is good enough?

Well I get that. Because, although I do not not agree I have no sense, given the political party disengagement WHAT THE HELL I CAN DO Image
“We have, for the most part, got used to our state of suspended animation, our permanent life in limbo, waiting & waiting for the miseries of Brexit to appear and them never quite arriving.“

How many of us wait but do not act because we do not know what act will have an effect Image
Read 4 tweets
26 Nov
Dispelling Disinformation: If COVID-19 Doesn't Kill the Young and Fit, Why Can't We Just Ignore It? – Byline Times

“This is not just about deaths or even hospital admissions in people who survive. One in 10 of those affected are frontline health workers”
bylinetimes.com/2020/11/26/dis…
“They are FAR more likely to get infected than the general public, despite being fit and young enough to work. They also deserve some protection. “

And how can they care for us, whatever our condition if they are laid low by Covid?
This was the contention in the Mail, repeated by a variety of pundits.

These are husbands, wives, parents, grandparents, children, aunts, uncles, nieces & nephews.

Are they to be written off because they have diabetes (1 in 4 adults) or high blood pressure or obesity (1 in 4)
Read 5 tweets
26 Nov
🦠🦠 17,555 new cases and processing is up.

There does seem to be a real reduction of cases.

Now below the week leading to the November national restrictions

Still too high.

⚰️⚰️⚰️498 (28 day) deaths

3258 the last 7 days -465 avg daily

Previous 7 days 2847 -406 avg daily
🏥 Admissions seem to be flattening but there is now a significant reporting lag especially from Scotland. Last complete day 21/11/29 with 1434 admitted in one day. Still the equivalent of a large hospital but slowing steadily.

🛌 In hospital 16,341 on Tuesday. Flattening.
There are some encouraging signs that the incoming cases are steadily dropping and the influx of patients to hospital is slowing.

But a week yesterday we will be back into the Tier system and I can see why large parts of the country are still subject to substantial restrictions.
Read 9 tweets
26 Nov
More information seems to have come to light about the Oxford - AstraZeneca Vaccine trial. Still not complete data but the more that is emerging the unhappier reading it makes

Not just a patchwork quilt of trials with different protocols but the over 55s were poorly represented
I hope the approval process around this will be very careful and very deliberative because, right, now, I would be concerned as to whether the vaccine is as efficacious as the press release suggested.

I will be interested to hear more from experts who have viewed ALL the data
I don’t know whether the identified deficits can be “cured” by an extended trial. Has @IndependentSage been able to see the data @globalhlthtwit @chrischirp @martinmckee

We cannot afford to rock public confidence in vaccines so complete transparency matters.
Read 6 tweets
26 Nov
“Rishi Sunak’s spending review looked far in to the future, in some instances all the way to 2026, but he found himself unable to talk about what’s going to happen in just under five weeks time”

Great from @tompeck
“You would think, given the great unforeseen hardships that lie ahead thanks to Covid-19, that now would be the time to big up the great opportunities that are about to begin. Now would be the time to mention them, wouldn’t it?”
“If they were real, that is. If they hadn’t always been lies, now would be the time to sell them.

And yet, not once. Not a whisper. Not a dicky bird. All these great opportunities, needed now more urgently than ever, at this vital moment, just slipped the chancellor’s mind.  “
Read 4 tweets
25 Nov
The increasingly thorny issue of data transfers after Brexit | UK in a changing Europe

“The flow of data is vital for the UK and EU economies. In 2018, the value of the data economy was estimated to be £301 billion, or 2.4% of EU GDP.”

What about the UK? ukandeu.ac.uk/the-increasing…
The Commission estimates that by 2025 its value will increase to €829 billion or 5.8 percent of EU GDP.

The UK has the largest internet economy as a proportion of GDP within the G20, reflecting the centrality of data to most goods and services trade.
An interruption in data flows would therefore be costly.

Very costly.
Read 7 tweets

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